Exactly the answer everybody knew. So, Horst is then issuing a prediction based off of climatology and not forecast guidance.
I got interrupted by an Amber Alert last night, but it sounded like Joe Calhoun at WGAL was giving a similar opinion to that of Horst when he was doing a Facebook Live video, even to the point where he kinda went off on some guy who brought up the NWS.
Models are just guidance. If that was all there was to weather, absolute dopes would be weathermen.