snowman21
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Posts posted by snowman21
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-SN getting started here
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Nice job by Ryan explaining all of the complexities with the forecast.
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That's still 15+ for eastern areas. I'll take it if you guys don't want it.
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2 minutes ago, Snowcrazed71 said:
Yes, there and also Long Island, except for for Western Long Island. I wouldn't be surprised if they extend these blizzard warnings through most of Connecticut may be stopping around Litchfield County
The rest of Connecticut probably won't meet the wind criteria.
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1 minute ago, weatherwiz said:
blizzard warnings into coastal CT
New London County.
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Blizzard warnings added for all of RI and the rest of eastern MA.
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Nice mood snow whitening the ground with that batch moving through the metro area.
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Happy Blizzard Eve everyone! 14 forecast zones across New England with blizzard warnings and probably more getting added in a few hours.
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Winter storm watch up for Litchfield County. Poor Hartford County the only one in the state without a watch now.
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3 minutes ago, WxFreak11 said:
When would Watches change to Warnings?
Tomorrow morning or tonight maybe? I think it happens once you're inside of 24 hours.
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What a storm for eastern areas if that holds. Jesus you guys will be buried. 2+ feet with big time drifts from the 50-60 mph winds.
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2 minutes ago, Brian5671 said:
6-9 here
Yeah been thinking 3-6 type of deal down this way and figured a couple more inches closer to BDR. That's a sharp gradient on the west side. If a band managed to work this far west that could change things considerably of course.
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7 minutes ago, CT Valley Dryslot said:
I'd weigh in the possibility of the at least the Route 7 corridor getting 0.0"
That's the real borderline.
The River valley is probably OK for, at a minimum, an advisory event.
I'm west of 7 by about 10-15 miles. I am bracing for the possibility of just a cloudy day with some flurries. But hey at least we'll have the wind chill to track!
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8 minutes ago, tavwtby said:
ALY.. middle approach solution, still given their likely outcome here is 7.0", that at least warrants a WWA, if not a warning, seeing all offices around have already hoisted them, we wait... During Friday night through Saturday night, a deep upper-level trough will become neutral to slightly negatively tilted as it approaches the East Coast. A favorable upper-level dual-jet structure will lead to the development and rapid intensification of a surface low off the East Coast as it tracks north to northeastward. There remains high confidence a coastal low will occur, but where it actually tracks remains uncertain. Latest model suite is split on the track with some guidance more intense and farther west (ECMWF/CMC) and others less intense and farther east (GFS/NAM). Only the CMC is west of the 40/70 benchmark at this time. Upon collaboration with WPC and surrounding offices, we continue to run a `middle approach` at this time with the higher snowfall totals south and east of Albany with little or no snowfall farther north and west. Regardless, a fairly `wide goalpost` of snowfall amounts are still possible. Cold, dry air north and west of this system will likely lead to a sharp gradient in snowfall as well. Winter weather headlines may be needed in later updates, but there was not enough confidence on any winter storm watches at this time.
Given the uncertainty I'm surprised the whole state isn't under a watch. The threshold is 7 inches in Litchfield, so if they really think this is going to be a 3-6 type of event I understand why they have nothing up right now since an advisory has a shorter lead time than a watch at least in practice if not by definition.
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5 minutes ago, George001 said:
If the Euro moves back west there’s a decent chance we see blizzard watches up for eastern mass
No such thing.
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1 minute ago, JayinRI said:
lol... local weather says early call 8-12, TWC has a map with 1-2 feet, i guess they got it nailed down....8-24 in
They're going to regret using their big flake icons 4-5 days out. Hopefully a lesson learned for their meteorologists to not go balls to the wall until you're sure.
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BOX map looks pretty good for a first call. I kinda had the same across CT - 2-4 inches along the NY border to 8-12 395 corridor. Easy to adjust up or down one category without having wild swings in the forecast.
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7 minutes ago, Go Kart Mozart said:
Eastern Fairfield County, you can bet on that.
Looks like a solid 4-8 type of deal on your side of the county right now. Not close to blockbuster territory for western zones as depicted, but a good enough hit that will put you above normal for snowfall for the season.
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13 minutes ago, Brian5671 said:
one of the few. That was the right call in reality-here it was rain until 8:30-they could have opened on time and by this afternoon roads would have been fine. Crazy. It's like living in Savannah GA instead of NE
Closed here as well. All we have is wet ground. Not even a trace. Back country out by the airport probably has something on the ground, but south of 95/Post Rd just wet.
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-RASN mix here on the sound, meanwhile five miles up the road at HPN 1/2 mi mod snow.
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Winter weather advisory in effect! Where's the snow?
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-SN 34F
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7 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said:
What’s your temp?
34
New England Overrunning Event 02/03-02/04/22
in New England
Posted
Winter storm warnings from the Mexico border in Texas all the way through Maine. Can't recall seeing a bigger swath of the country under warnings like that.