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snowman21

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Posts posted by snowman21

  1. 2 minutes ago, Snowcrazed71 said:

    Yes, there and also Long Island, except for for Western Long Island. I wouldn't be surprised if they extend these blizzard warnings through most of Connecticut may be stopping around Litchfield County

    The rest of Connecticut probably won't meet the wind criteria.

  2. 7 minutes ago, CT Valley Dryslot said:

    I'd weigh in the possibility of the at least the Route 7 corridor getting 0.0"

    That's the real borderline.

    The River valley is probably OK for, at a minimum, an advisory event.

    I'm west of 7 by about 10-15 miles. I am bracing for the possibility of just a cloudy day with some flurries. But hey at least we'll have the wind chill to track!

  3. 8 minutes ago, tavwtby said:
    ALY.. middle approach solution, still given their likely outcome here is 7.0", that at least warrants a WWA, if not a warning, seeing all offices around have already hoisted them, we wait...
    
    During Friday night through Saturday night, a deep upper-level
    trough will become neutral to slightly negatively tilted as it
    approaches the East Coast. A favorable upper-level dual-jet
    structure will lead to the development and rapid intensification
    of a surface low off the East Coast as it tracks north to
    northeastward. There remains high confidence a coastal low will
    occur, but where it actually tracks remains uncertain. Latest
    model suite is split on the track with some guidance more
    intense and farther west (ECMWF/CMC) and others less intense and
    farther east (GFS/NAM). Only the CMC is west of the 40/70
    benchmark at this time. Upon collaboration with WPC and
    surrounding offices, we continue to run a `middle approach` at
    this time with the higher snowfall totals south and east of
    Albany with little or no snowfall farther north and west.
    Regardless, a fairly `wide goalpost` of snowfall amounts are
    still possible. Cold, dry air north and west of this system will
    likely lead to a sharp gradient in snowfall as well. Winter
    weather headlines may be needed in later updates, but there was
    not enough confidence on any winter storm watches at this time.

    Given the uncertainty I'm surprised the whole state isn't under a watch. The threshold is 7 inches in Litchfield, so if they really think this is going to be a 3-6 type of event I understand why they have nothing up right now since an advisory has a shorter lead time than a watch at least in practice if not by definition.

  4. 1 minute ago, JayinRI said:

    lol... local weather says early call 8-12, TWC has a map with 1-2 feet, i guess they got it nailed down....8-24 in

    They're going to regret using their big flake icons 4-5 days out. Hopefully a lesson learned for their meteorologists to not go balls to the wall until you're sure.

  5. 7 minutes ago, Go Kart Mozart said:

    Eastern Fairfield County, you can bet on that.

    Looks like a solid 4-8 type of deal on your side of the county right now. Not close to blockbuster territory for western zones as depicted, but a good enough hit that will put you above normal for snowfall for the season.

  6. 13 minutes ago, Brian5671 said:

    one of the few.  That was the right call in reality-here it was rain  until 8:30-they could have opened on time and by this afternoon roads would have been fine.  Crazy.  It's like living in Savannah GA instead of NE

    Closed here as well. All we have is wet ground. Not even a trace. Back country out by the airport probably has something on the ground, but south of 95/Post Rd just wet.

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