mayjawintastawm

There were 1-2 a year or more ago, but haven't heard anything from them in a long time. Feel free to start a thread! Could be interesting, with atmospheric rivers etc. as opposed to the yawn of a fall/winter we're having in the Rockies so far.

Wild… NWS discussion and forecast doesn’t have the faintest hint (though officially it only goes through 11/30)

.07" here. A deluge, indeed.

We actually talked about this a bit a few months ago with long term data- over the long term, a clear signal around the Front Range for more likely warmer year over year, but very inconsistent with overall moisture even though it does seem like every storm ends up drier than forecast, and there is a trend for warmer and drier Oct-Nov. A disproportionate number of the top 10 or so records that involve warm temps have been in the last 20 years, but other than being more variable, there aren't any real precip trends.

So... any thoughts on the Thursday/Friday precip event? Looks weird, more like a Spring type event with temps and upslope. With the recent warmth, might not be that impactful. But worth talking about since we've not had much to discuss in a long time.

actually good point. Classic La Nina half-a-winter. My seasonal total was 45.9" which is not too much less than my average of about 55". But it didn't really start till January.

And in fact I'm flying out Tuesday and returning Friday morning... well...

2021 was a complete non-winter. Hope this year doesn't replicate that.

Last year I XC skied in Cherry Creek State Park on 11/10. Jeez. I may have to mow the lawn this weekend.

It's balmy and around 60 at 10:30 AM this November day. There are hints of a more exciting pattern change in 7-10 days (isn't there always?) but nothing but warm and dry in the short term. Bring on... something!

I realize we are technically well within "cold season", so I'll start a new thread, even though my lawn is still green and growing a bit. Here's to more exciting weather the next few months!

There was an even crazier one 4-5 tiers high just north of Denver when I was driving into town this morning about 9:30. Couldn't take a picture though. Glad I was not in an airplane. First frost this morning, 32 degrees then it was 78 this afternoon. Typical October. The Front Range mountains are practically snow free after last week's warm rain.

Not to split hairs too much, but given COCORAHS and climate reports I'd move the purple and blue boundaries 10 miles or so northwest. Centennial Airport, the nearest climate site around 5 miles SE of the Denver line in Arapahoe County and about 3 miles SE of me, got 1.58" (122% of normal) in September and is at 0.11" so far in October.

North Metro has really been winning out lately... 0.19" here since 10/1 after about 1.2" in September.

0.12" here, pretty representative of most of the Denver Metro area by COCORAHS. Nice- helped incrementally with crispiness. BTW, though not mountains but relatively close- the hailstorm in McCook, NE yesterday was pretty devastating. 2 hours of hail up to 3" from a rare stationary supercell. I hope they got most of the crops in already!

Yes, I feel like since we moved to the Denver Metro in 2010, September and even October have shifted from real transition months to "warm, dry and dark" (the length of daylight is one thing that hasn't changed!) while April-May have just become more variable.

I love to see an argument on this page- don't think I've seen one in a long time, maybe ever! The New England forum has them like hourly.

Wow. And Centennial Airport got 0.40" for the month. Insane difference in less than 30 miles. We got 1.07" at my house, roughly 3 miles north of the airport.

Interesting! Thanks. Quite a few spots where there is 50-75% of normal (far SE Aurora) and 200+% of normal (Bennett) within 10 miles of one another. There is practically NO green on this map in the northern half of Colorado! Also, we got half an inch of rain this afternoon/evening.

What's interesting the last few days is that despite the seemingly random radar patterns, the distribution of heavy rain seems non-random- the places that get a lot of rain one day tend to get a lot on subsequent days. Would be interesting to see a cumulative map. We got another 0.07" for a total of 0.40" for the 5-day period.

APA (Centennial Airport) is at 0.30" for the month, which I think is pretty typical for the immediate I-25 corridor (say 10 miles either side) north of Castle Rock. We're at 0.36" at my house.

Beautiful fire prevention!!

Today could finally be better... or not... wow this monsoon thing and the AM stratus/PM nothingburger pattern is so weird. Let's see if we can double our monthly rainfall- would not be hard.

actually I'm halfway in between I-225 and Centennial Airport, where the blue dot is in this radar image from a few weeks ago. In the little finger of D2 drought on the map just SE of Denver. We did pick up another 0.11" early this morning, so that's good.

Quite the deluge here, with a 3-day total of 0.04" (0.08" for the month).