mayjawintastawm
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Everything posted by mayjawintastawm
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Mountain West Discussion
mayjawintastawm replied to mayjawintastawm's topic in Central/Western States
OK, I'll send it Tuesday. What's the postage like for 2" of rain? Got 0.36" with tonight's surprise storm. I'll take it, though Centennial Airport (measuring station 4 miles south) got 1.01". -
Mountain West Discussion
mayjawintastawm replied to mayjawintastawm's topic in Central/Western States
We got two rounds of rain: 0.06" and 0.02". No hail. Of course, areas just to the south got wrecked. -
Mountain West Discussion
mayjawintastawm replied to mayjawintastawm's topic in Central/Western States
The pattern of Lucy pulling the football away continues for most of the Denver Metro, with promising forecasts dwindling and rain always 2-4 days away. DEN has a trace of rain this month so far. My house has 0.11". -
Mountain West Discussion
mayjawintastawm replied to mayjawintastawm's topic in Central/Western States
Whoops, yeah I was looking at the 6 AM and 7 AM temps, guess it dipped down a bit around 3-4 AM. In any case, if we stay above 63 the next 5 hours it will be a new warmest low. -
Mountain West Discussion
mayjawintastawm replied to mayjawintastawm's topic in Central/Western States
About the warmest early morning low I can remember at my house, 72 today. DIA had a low of 74. May go lower tonight before midnight, otherwise it'll break the warmest low record for the date by 11 degrees! Would also tie the record for the second lowest all-time minimum. -
Mountain West Discussion
mayjawintastawm replied to mayjawintastawm's topic in Central/Western States
"Bagging" multiple peaks in a day is a big thing in the Northeast, where I hiked all 67 4000 footers in New England with my Dad before moving to CO in 2010. It's easy to climb 3-4 in a day or half a dozen in a weekend. All are Class 1 or 2 hikes, though there are some class 3 options if you try hard enough on a couple of peaks in NH and Maine. Funny thing is that weather and hiking have historically been two of my main interests, but "peakbagging" much less so since I moved to CO. (on the AT, my trail name was "Weatherman"). I've climbed two fourteeners, but there is so much more great hiking out here that does not involve the highest peaks that they've lost much of their appeal (plus, the competition for parking and real estate during 14er hikes is a big negative). But we digress. Some very thoughtful winter forecasts have emerged in the last week. What do people think? Personally, I'm skeptical that we'll get more than a "normal" amount of snow this year, because persistence always seems to win out. Though I'd gladly take "normal". -
Mountain West Discussion
mayjawintastawm replied to mayjawintastawm's topic in Central/Western States
I've hiked in that area up to the passes in the area (though I've never done the "official Four Pass Loop") and camped by a couple of lakes. Trails are steep and rocky up to the formerly glaciated headwalls pretty much everywhere in CO, though maybe more in that area because of the rock itself. Poles are a good idea (and will help preserve your knees for future decades!) -
Mountain West Discussion
mayjawintastawm replied to mayjawintastawm's topic in Central/Western States
I have a friend who's hiked all the 14ers and many more than once, and for him the Bells are some of the most dangerous he calls it "hiking on a giant pile of dinner plates". But not till you get above pass level (12K). -
Mountain West Discussion
mayjawintastawm replied to mayjawintastawm's topic in Central/Western States
August rain at my house=2.25". Was hoping for a bit more to end the month and it rained the last 4 days in a row but with a whopping total of 0.09". It's pretty uncommon to get monsoon moisture here after Labor Day but we'll see.... -
Mountain West Discussion
mayjawintastawm replied to mayjawintastawm's topic in Central/Western States
They are tornadoes that get reported to NWS by spotters/law enforcement/etc but may not have been confirmed by NWS. Some are duplicates (I think), some turn out to be non-tornadic wind events. -
Mountain West Discussion
mayjawintastawm replied to mayjawintastawm's topic in Central/Western States
That's pretty typical for the mountains during monsoon season. Some years you can set your watch by them, right after lunch. I've been caught in more than one on my bike, grateful for the helmet. One good thing is that the mountains very rarely have severe-size (1") hail. -
Mountain West Discussion
mayjawintastawm replied to mayjawintastawm's topic in Central/Western States
Just got 0.42" rain in 16 minutes with rates peaking at 2.5"/hr. All done though. Parts of Parker got hammered. Saw some broad rotation in the cloud base on my way home from work in Aurora. EDIT: round 2 developing from outflow. Quite an interesting afternoon, all of a sudden! -
Mountain West Discussion
mayjawintastawm replied to mayjawintastawm's topic in Central/Western States
Grand total of 0.03" rain in the last week. Grrr. Plenty of wind though. Also, August has a very good shot of being in the top 3 warmest at DEN, after 2nd warmest July ever. Current average is 76.8, tied for #3 all time (77.0 is #`1) and the forecast for the next week doesn't go below that. -
Mountain West Discussion
mayjawintastawm replied to mayjawintastawm's topic in Central/Western States
Glad you experienced it! The clouds and light in the early mornings and evenings have been really spectacular the last few days. The rule of thumb of 4-5 degrees drop per 1000 feet works pretty well most of the time when planning. As ValpoVike wrote, snow can happen any time of year up there, though mid June through Labor Day it is seldom a driving problem. Only another 4 weeks till leaves start to change- and this year they may be early, not because of cold but because of drought stress. -
Mountain West Discussion
mayjawintastawm replied to mayjawintastawm's topic in Central/Western States
1.65" total from the 4-day period here (none today). Yesterday we received less than 0.2" from the storm that produced over an inch and a half just 2 miles from here. There was a lot of mud and rocks up to fist size on the paved Cherry Creek bike trail just north of the dam this morning, and plenty of standing water east and north of the campground. The creek itself looked like it stayed within its banks in the area, though. -
Mountain West Discussion
mayjawintastawm replied to mayjawintastawm's topic in Central/Western States
3 days with rain in a row here: 0.13" Wed, 0.97" Thurs (though could have done without the 1"+ hail which caused a little garden damage) and 0.39" yesterday. Can we make it 4? That would be the first time in a long, long time. -
Mountain West Discussion
mayjawintastawm replied to mayjawintastawm's topic in Central/Western States
And the afternoon BOU AFD is now very pessimistic for much over the next few days in the Metro. Lots of "if"s in there. -
Mountain West Discussion
mayjawintastawm replied to mayjawintastawm's topic in Central/Western States
And today it's almost back up to where it was on Monday. Guess it shows how hard it is to model these kinds of things. Could be a good opportunity to learn something? -
Mountain West Discussion
mayjawintastawm replied to mayjawintastawm's topic in Central/Western States
QPF for me from the NWS for the Wed-Sat period was cut in half over the last 24 hours, right on schedule. Call me a weenie but we've seen this all many times over the last 9 months. -
Mountain West Discussion
mayjawintastawm replied to mayjawintastawm's topic in Central/Western States
I think I'd believe it more if the QPF were based more on large-scale systems than reliant on atmospheric moisture + localized lift. -
Mountain West Discussion
mayjawintastawm replied to mayjawintastawm's topic in Central/Western States
We've been lucky/people have been careful, I guess. Utah and especially the Northwest have been far worse, though we've had a few tragic fatalities here. Smoke is mainly aloft, not so much at the surface. More rain is always 5-6 days away. Maybe it will happen, someday. Meanwhile DEN has had its 6th or 7th 100 degree day today. -
Mountain West Discussion
mayjawintastawm replied to mayjawintastawm's topic in Central/Western States
Aaaaand... I'm now in D4 drought, first time in my life I think I have been there. A 30 foot tall, 45 year old pine in my yard is dying from lack of water, trying to save it. -
Mountain West Discussion
mayjawintastawm replied to mayjawintastawm's topic in Central/Western States
102 to 53 here in about 16 hours... nice!! Uncommon to see such a big temp drop in the summer. -
Mountain West Discussion
mayjawintastawm replied to mayjawintastawm's topic in Central/Western States
At my house near Centennial Airport we've received 5.05" YTD. DEN is a bit better at 5.65". Record driest year is 7.48" in 2002. I'm guessing we won't quite end up that dry, but it will be close. Good shot at top 10 driest, anyway. -
Mountain West Discussion
mayjawintastawm replied to mayjawintastawm's topic in Central/Western States
...here I am, stuck in a dry zone in Parker..." Apologies to Stealers Wheel, if they're still alive.
