Inverted_Trough

3 hours ago, Bob Chill said:

Yea, and the entire eastern half of the conus has been roasting for ALL of jan. There's areas north of us with nearly +10 anoms for Jan. We aren't far behind.  @MN Transplant posted the national Jan anom chart just a day or 2 ago. I've never seen a worse one for Jan in my life. I'm sure there's been worse but I don't remember any off the top of my head. 

January 2006

I think we need to start rooting for an epic fail season.  When we started doing that last winter, we suddenly had opportunities in March.

I didn't know there was another forum called 33andrain.  What's their story?

It'll stick.  Except for DCA.  They'll record a 'T'

One thing I've noticed is that we haven't even had much digital snow this winter.  Even in the putrid winter of 2011-2, we had a helluva lot more digital snow back then.

Sure will be.  But there will be a forum civil war.  Those are entertaining to watch though.  In addition to the bread, milk and toilet paper, I'm going to get some popcorn and watch the infighting unfold.

March 93 was the strongest storm I ever lived through.  I was in southern PA at the time.  Whiteout conditions.  50 mph sustained winds throughout.  I honestly felt like I was atop Mount Washington with those crazy weather conditions.

Looks like we could have a good old fashioned forum divider.  Frederick and points N/W gets hammered with a foot of paste.  Anywhere east of the fall line will be 33 and rain.  Tensions will be high.  Let's hope a forum civil war won't ensue.

I only mentioned 93 because the GFS has a storm with lower pressure than the '93, i.e. it's very likely GFS is overdoing it.  Setup is also completely different, but that wasn't the point here.

This brings to mind my favorite quote from Joe Lundberg:  It doesn't have to be cold in order to snow.  It merely has to be cold enough.

Instead of a 50/50 low, we have a 55/35 low.  What are the chances it can retrograde 1000 miles?

Also the GFS has it becoming a 954 mb low by the time it reaches Maine.  LOL.  The '93 superstorm never even had pressure that low.

DCA is about 42 degrees and rainy on the GFS.  With that track.  That NS disturbance seems to erode whatever marginal cold air we have.

I remember watching JB on Weather World back in the mid 1990s (along with other PSU mets such as Joe Sobel, Fred Gadomski and Paul Knight).  He was my favorite Weather World forecaster.  Now he basically represents the Fox News of weather media.

Is NAM synonymous with the AO?  For some reason the 'NAM' term has been used a lot this winter but I rarely saw this terminology used here in the past.  I'm sure this isn't to be confused with the NAM model.  Or being NAM'd as a verb.

The 50/50 region has trended much better for next Sunday.  Hopefully a real trend and not a head fake.

Let's look at the bright side:  DCA picked up 0.2 inches of snow today.  That's more snow than the winters of 72-73 and 97-98 combined!  We did it!

DCA also used to know how to measure snow back then.  Nowadays with marginal temps they always report a "Trace".  See the last storm.  

Agree that we shouldn't become overly optimistic.  The CFS weeklies have consistently been showing an eventual transition to a colder look -- even while we were in the midst of despair when the Central Pacific ridge wasn't moving on the 15-day ensembles.  They are continuing to maintain a cold look throughout Feb....so there is that.

A few days ago, we heard about the Central Pacific ridge correlates to a death knell for winter.  Now we are talking about too much blocking and cold and dry.  Times have changed!

You're both wrong:  Peak temps are mid-January.

Well, let's look at the bright side:  Hopefully this January won't be as tropical as January 2006.  Or January 1950.  Or, worst yet, January 1932.  I've read somewhere that mosquitoes were swarming in January 1932!

BWI needs to calibrate their thermometer.  They've consistently been 1-2 degrees higher than DCA this summer.  For once, DCA's sensor actually seems to be working fine.

It was moderate rain in downtown DC at 4 pm.  As soon as I crossed the Memorial Bridge, it turned into snow.  Really odd.

Sounds like luckyamaha needs to spend some time in this forum:

https://www.americanwx.com/bb/forum/30-meteorology-101/