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Shack

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Posts posted by Shack

  1. 15 minutes ago, SnowDeac said:

    Do we have any updated idea on duration/intensity for Charlotte? Snowing pretty good near Park Road Shopping Center, but radar looks more impressive to SW/NE. Are a couple of the models showing 2-3 inches still to be believed? My fiance is trying to make a call on opening her store at noon or not at all.

    ETA: of the short range models, the RGEM looks to be matching up the closest with actual radar returns. Hopefully others are seeing that too, and I'm not just wishcasting.

    I'm guessing another hour or so, but the roads seem very passable in town.  My wife and daughter are itching to go shopping today and Park Road is on their agenda. They'll be headed out to whatever is open, so I'm guessing other folks will be too.

    What type of shop does your fiancé have?

  2. 15 minutes ago, LithiaWx said:

    South GA is going to have a monster storm to contend with this evening.  I hope those guys are ready for inland hurricane conditions......

    NHC, as of latest track update, has it at Hurricane at 0600z at 12mi southwest of my position in Macon.( 32°50′5″N 83°49′6″W)

    Yes, Lithia, you are right.  I spoke to people last night and they definitely think, like most storms, that it's being overhyped for our area.  I tried to relay the modeled potential.

    Considering sending the wife and dogs to our friends in Alpharetta for a day or two.

     

    FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 32.1N  83.8W...INLAND
    MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
    64 KT... 20NE  30SE  20SW   0NW.
    50 KT... 40NE  50SE  40SW  30NW.
    34 KT... 90NE 140SE  90SW  70NW.
    • Like 1
  3. 17 minutes ago, pdw said:

    I actually live in Lizella but it is easier just telling people Macon, GA since most people have heard of it.  We learned our lesson with Irma and bought a whole house generator earlier this year so will have power.  We lost power for about 5 or 6 days last year.  Thank you for the information. I believe in preparing for the worst and hoping for the best!

    Lizella?  Me too.  South shore of Lake Tobo.

    Back on topic, the 0z NAM(yeah I know)makes landfall around St.George Island and takes it 75 miles south of Macon and a little weaker(inland) than the 18z GFS.

    • Like 1
  4. 2 hours ago, pdw said:

    I currently live around Macon, GA, should we be worried about anything besides a little wind and some heavy rain?

    PDW,

    I'm in Macon. Welcome !

    A 983mb Low will mean, at a minimum, very high Tropical Storm force winds for sure for the heart of Georgia.  Rain not so much a concern,(super dry here) as it is fast moving, but we could still see 3-6".  The track, wherever it winds up, 50 miles east or 50 miles west of us will mean significant difference in the winds.  Euro track has came west, closer to what the GFS has been saying, so being 72hrs out I think we have much to concern ourselves with as it pertains to winds.

  5. On 10/4/2018 at 9:39 PM, jburns said:

    This is a worldwide trend.

    For 400 Months in a Row, the Earth Has Been Warmer Than 20th Century Average

     If you assume the odds of a particular month being warmer than average are 50 percent — what you’d expect in a stable climate — then the odds of 400 warm months in a row would be approximately one in 1 x 10^120. The name for such a number is a “novemtrigintillion” — a value bigger than the number of atoms that exist in a trillion universes.

    https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2018-05-17/april-was-400th-consecutive-month-world-warmer-than-20th-century

    https://grist.org/article/for-400-months-in-a-row-our-planet-has-been-unusually-hot/

    Living in Macon, Georgia, where my September average was two degrees higher than my July average, I wouldn't know it but, The University of Alabama-Huntsville, Global Temperature Update reports that this past September was the coolest September in the past 10 years.  https://www.nsstc.uah.edu/climate/

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