Baroclinic Zone

Started flatter but ended up about the same

Coming in ever so slightly flatter so far.

18z GEFS more spread at 12z Tuesday but more consolidate by 18z Tuesday.

18z GFS Dual lows…

Last 5-6 model cycles, the trend has been for a flatter solution. Does not mean that holds or continues. We have seen countless times where we see those last 24-48hrs where things come in more amplified.

AI ftw?

2 distinct camps in the 12z GEFS

Bit too much of this growing up.

GFS has been quick to take that s/w and push it further north over upper Midwest while euro is a bit slower and has s/w further south.

Thanks for putting my earlier comment into a more detailed response.

GFS has not performed well. I feel it’s been too amplified.

I wonder how modeling is handling the NAO flip. How much feedback is there. Shunting storm further S.

You take that back…

All SEMATT saddling up for the 6z Euro/EPS run.