DTP

There were a lot of outages on the Duke side as well- it seemed like I would get at least a call a week from my PMs about losing power- the wind absolutely rips across there, especially in the spring

Lol- I was one of the co-founders of MAB...sold out of it a couple years ago ,,,and sure, that would be cool- I don't start back on any of my building projects until late Feb, so I have some free time

Lakeshore on #10 across the hill from the Clubhouse- where u at?

28/10 in Tega Cay with strong 020 breeze....nothing falling yet

I used to own Plantation Place, which is right by that intersection.... Lost a whole roof on one of the buildings during a windstorm in March 18'... the immediate area is really prone to high winds bc of topo

Pretty well-equipped- they pull in a lot of big national electrical subs most of the time for any type of large-scale line work- Williams, etc....I have seen a lot of different subs doing work for Duke when I pull electrical infrastructure in on my build sites The real problem will be not being able to pull crews from neighboring states- they also have their hands full with the same storm

Guess I was mistaken- it will be a factor if that is the case- it would, however, help knock down upstream ZR totals, which is what everyone here is hoping for

This would be insanely expensive at this point, but I always wondered why they never put ice breaks along the runs for this very reason....similar to what you would see on a roof This way you would have 20' chunks shedding off v 100' It would be hard to spool a roll of HT with them already attached, so it would be a retrofit (also expensive and time-consuming)....I probably just answered my own question with that in mind lol

Noticed that there has not been much thunderstorm activity near the GC on this storm so far- usually that is a big factor in moisture transport

I do think SMRs are the future going forward- less cost, faster completion As a builder and developer myself, that is the best combination you could hope for

18z NAM from yesterday pretty much matches what is on radar right now fwiw It was the only model showing the showery nature of the precip this early in wedge areas- if it verifies- precip in the upstate will fill in as sleet within the next couple hours

Couple that with the multi-billion hole in the ground at VC Sumner....my next door neighbor actually had to come in and try to fix that whole mess Nuke plants take forever to build, but are by far the best option- I am right across the lake from Catawba Nuclear- over 40 yo at this point, and still generates a large percentage of CLT's power needs Main issue now has to do with data centers- they eat up an enormous supply of power that is enormously disproportionate to Residential usage Coal-fired in the US got a really bad rap, and the thought process behind decommissioning was ill-conceived at best. As stated earlier, there was no viable plan for replacing the lost output. Look at Western Europe if you want to see some really f'd up policy with regards to electrical resources- they didn't just shoot themselves in the foot, they blew their whole leg off....the cognitive dissonance between ideals and actual reality is frankly astounding

GSP had a mention regarding the hydrometeor portion- warranted bc of how cold surface temps will become during the storm With LR sitting at 10, hard to get anything fully liquid to the ground, even with a powerful warm nose

I didn't believe the sub-z dps when they were being spit out by the models a couple days ago....now they are verifying- the 850 gradient in VA is insane right now- N VA 850's are -18 to -20 You typically don't see that back east- normally reserved for high desert cold air sinks out west

NAM showing a similar scenario to what it was showing at 18z yesterday with P-types... this is a very plausible setup, and I have seen it verify in multiple storms over the years Except for the squall line at the end....looks weird and doesn't smell right given the relatively stable air in the still-existing wedge

The duration of the cold is really what people need to pay attention to outside of this storm- Residential code outside of the mtns isn't built for this type of scenario I have built a lot of houses over the last 6 years and done even more renos- this is starting to look and feel like a slow-mo train-wreck in the making

I would venture to say that isn't virga lol....this is going to be an interesting day in our neck of the woods

You may also have my favorite occurrence today bc of dynamics- thundersleet....it ain't a real storm in Texas without it lol

All sorts of energy running over top of the cold dome around DFW- the spotty/showery precip you are seeing right now will fill back in as the next piece of energy moves through....seen it a gazillion times with this setup over the years....temps will hit the mid- or upper teens by sunset at KDFW Plus there are several different pieces of energy running atw back to El Paso, which is ~600 miles from Dallas...big friggin' state. You will cash in on this storm with snow and sleet, even though it isn't doing much yet

Keep in mind that the demand on Residential plumbers will also be insane....you may not get someone out for a month

That is insane- and a pipe-buster that far south Kinda a little worried about that in CLT tbh- we won't have that magnitude of cold, but the duration through next weekend and possibly longer could be a really huge issue Especially in parking garages under Residential with under-insulated (R-4) water lines....and in crawl spaces (generally exposed w no insulation) Next trip will be to Lowes this AM to pick up some foam insulation and Shark-Bites for my lines- I would urge anyone else to do the same if you are handy- easy to do, and busted water lines suck ass Plus we have cPEX (all of the houses in my neighborhood do)- it blows out under normal conditions- it has happened in 100+ houses in my subdivision alone- most were built 2004-06' by the same retard builder

Wedges are the really the only setup in the CLT area where you will commonly observe falling temps during the daytime....even with a strong arctic front from the NW, downsloping normally keeps this from occurring until the sun sets at KCLT

Guess that could be one of two things: 1. Cold arriving slightly later than modeled 2. Depth of the cold in the wedge not as strong as originally modeled Judging by the 850 gradient in VA and obs from Dallas area last night (cold air took longer than expected to move south), my guess would be number 1

The 850 temp gradient over VA is insane from S to N

Getting snow the last few years outside of the mtns in NC/SC has been more like a space shuttle launch- every variable has to be perfect it seems like....sleet bomb it is