TalcottWx

F the 700mb warm layer

Don't bother

I love your location for this one.

This threat is over outside of interior elevated Sne. This is my sad deflated weenie confession to you. A friendly reminder that we will all be able to move on and see better events in the future. Not what I wanted to be typing right now. This winter has been one long drawn out disappointment. I am guilty of holding on to the bitter end, knocking some of our more negative posters. Well, you may not have been exactly "right" per definition, but I like to try to stay positive until I think it's over. I'm sticking a fork in it. I'm going to accept it at this point. Time to start popping zyrtec for the spring season. Pretty soon we will be tracking 'severe' threats. Bring on cape cod Beach weather

Why are you waiting, I am ahead of you

Perhaps the low is better consolidating allowing deform to expand.

How much for Falmouth

My little se MA ray of positivity!

Ban

I just... Have no comment. I do not even know why I am tracking this. LOL

<popeBenedict> BuT tHe Se RiDgE!!!!</popeBenedict>

It has become much better in the past few days. I would be more likely to trust HRRR vs NAM lately. And no, not because it's snowier. I just have a deep hate for the NAM.

I will gronk spike my laptop if Boston gets 12-18". I will also be on the Cape for this. Smh.

NAM tossed as far as ur ice forecast

The NAM is tossed

Euro trended colder toward GFS over E MA. GFS trended toward Euro low position. I mean... Idk

Thank you, I was beginning to question my own analysis of the modeling. Euro sucks lately

That's a much better look at it, thank you.

Overall, pretty consistent. Yes, a bit warmer.

I would like this to stall and bomb to 960 100 miles south of Montauk

Essentially we want a colder move by the warmer models, in order to convince you. Makes sense now.

The depiction and it's output are very odd

What makes you lean toward EURO/NAM, I remember Will saying he had heavy lean to GFS/EURO until about today if I remember correctly. NAM just appears to be 100% out to lunch, no?

6z NAM is still so wrong it's laughable. It's not even close .