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TalcottWx

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Everything posted by TalcottWx

  1. Euro is very warm at the surface. Well above 32f for CT for entire storm.
  2. From eweather: gfs ensembles have trended snowier consistently over past days. Newest run at top. Oldest at the bottom.
  3. Q: the 2013 storm in CT, where was the lift focused in the column when it came to the death band? Curious about where the fronto was. Was it top down?
  4. It's really just a matter whether it's w CT or e CT that gets the jack at this point, I would say. I'm concerned for power outages. This is man snow.
  5. Run me around and make me hurt again and again. But I'll still sing you love songs, written in the letter of your name. The rain is gonna come, oh it surely looks like rain.
  6. That was model output. Just so you know. Not a manual forecast map. Just an FYI.
  7. That 7h track on 12z Canadian is perfect for all of CT. It would be deformation band central.
  8. Didn't think euro was as good in Eastern MA, it's close to be. I meant specifically on board for that. But window of dryslot concerns for orh down to interior ri that we discussed, seems to be ending. Here is 12 gfs 7h vertical velocity loop over eastern MA. Death band!
  9. Means nothing if the euro doesn't get on board. Gfs made a huge run to run jump and that is an outlier until proven otherwise, IMO.
  10. You did call the tick east, you insinuated that, kudos to you too. I would love to get deform. Either solution is fine with me.
  11. Gfs just went from dry slotting east, to smoking Boston in a single run. That's a massive move toward euro (kudos Steve, ride a horse). That would alleviate some concerns for those areas I highlighted like orh. Trend developing here.
  12. I think ur max is in two areas, maybe separate Jacks, somewhere between these two saggy chubby chest cheeks
  13. Tues at 15z on the 6z euro. The lighter that shade of purple, the lower the visibility, some values near or at zero. 1sm vis is when purple switches to red.
  14. 6z euro is very similar to 0z euro that I showed. Would crush orh and maybe some interior ri. Would be really good kev to Steve.
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