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TalcottWx

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Everything posted by TalcottWx

  1. From eweather: gfs ensembles have trended snowier consistently over past days. Newest run at top. Oldest at the bottom.
  2. Q: the 2013 storm in CT, where was the lift focused in the column when it came to the death band? Curious about where the fronto was. Was it top down?
  3. It's really just a matter whether it's w CT or e CT that gets the jack at this point, I would say. I'm concerned for power outages. This is man snow.
  4. Run me around and make me hurt again and again. But I'll still sing you love songs, written in the letter of your name. The rain is gonna come, oh it surely looks like rain.
  5. That was model output. Just so you know. Not a manual forecast map. Just an FYI.
  6. That 7h track on 12z Canadian is perfect for all of CT. It would be deformation band central.
  7. Didn't think euro was as good in Eastern MA, it's close to be. I meant specifically on board for that. But window of dryslot concerns for orh down to interior ri that we discussed, seems to be ending. Here is 12 gfs 7h vertical velocity loop over eastern MA. Death band!
  8. Means nothing if the euro doesn't get on board. Gfs made a huge run to run jump and that is an outlier until proven otherwise, IMO.
  9. You did call the tick east, you insinuated that, kudos to you too. I would love to get deform. Either solution is fine with me.
  10. Gfs just went from dry slotting east, to smoking Boston in a single run. That's a massive move toward euro (kudos Steve, ride a horse). That would alleviate some concerns for those areas I highlighted like orh. Trend developing here.
  11. I think ur max is in two areas, maybe separate Jacks, somewhere between these two saggy chubby chest cheeks
  12. Tues at 15z on the 6z euro. The lighter that shade of purple, the lower the visibility, some values near or at zero. 1sm vis is when purple switches to red.
  13. 6z euro is very similar to 0z euro that I showed. Would crush orh and maybe some interior ri. Would be really good kev to Steve.
  14. Here's 0z euro rh at 7h. I'm going to buy pivotal plus for a month right now so I can take a look at 6z. But this is good a little further to the east, better than gfs for sure.
  15. All the banding products I looked at do not look good that far south and east. It's a bit concerning even for orh given whatever the dryslot does.
  16. A closer look at the 6z gfs shows a top 5 all time storm for Kevin. Rots a band right over the valley. Would be crushing.
  17. There is no way interior RI is involved. Mid levels far too far north for that. I'd be relatively concerned about a dry slot anywhere river east. I think you get crushed here. Nw CT up to berks and interior CT west of river looks sick. Anthony (? I believe the mets name) is in Burlington CT and I like that location a lot. Mitch where the bodies are buried too.
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