TalcottWx

Reallllly liking this long line of wind forming from ORH to Ellington.

Union Woodstock Putnam CT look like they have a bow segment forming and heading right for them

du hast

Thw wind maxes are pretty small. You may have missed the core, or perhaps it isn't mixing down there, who knows

Tilt 1 is the lowest beam. Tilt 4 is the highest. Just sends out the beam at diff altitudes so you can see how it's performing in terms of vertical growth... if it's weaker aloft, its crap, if its intensifying aloft, usually means its strengthening

It's running out of time. Especially when you look at upper tilts. Wagons SW as many said. Still a good little event for some isolated severe on going.

There is a handful of trees, wires, etc down coming in. Nothing crazy yet.

I'd watch that bullshit. It might fire back up.

That cell in Litchfield is the most impressive right now. Has history of wind damage.

Kev is going to get rocked.

Don't shit on my parade

mets here seem to think now is the time we might see some bowing segments form. Keep an eye on that cell near Belchertown

000 ACUS11 KWNS 062023 SWOMCD SPC MCD 062023 MAZ000-NHZ000-RIZ000-CTZ000-NYZ000-VTZ000-NJZ000-PAZ000-DEZ000-MDZ000-062200- MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1164 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0323 PM CDT TUE JUL 06 2021 AREAS AFFECTED...RI...MA...CT...NJ...SOUTHEAST NY...EASTERN PA...NORTHERN DE...FAR NORTHEAST MD...SOUTHERN VT/NH CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 335...336... VALID 062023Z - 062200Z THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 335, 336 CONTINUES. SUMMARY...THE THREAT FOR DAMAGING WINDS CONTINUES ACROSS THE REMAINING VALID PORTIONS OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCHES 335 AND 336. DISCUSSION...SEVERAL CLUSTERS OF SEVERE STORMS WERE IN PROGRESS AT 2015Z FROM WESTERN MA SOUTHWEST INTO NORTHEAST PA, WITH REPORTS OF MEASURED SEVERE GUSTS AND WIND DAMAGE. THE DOWNSTREAM ENVIRONMENT WILL REMAIN FAVORABLE FOR A CONTINUED SEVERE RISK WITH MODERATE/STRONG MLCAPE AND 30-35 KTS OF WESTERLY FLOW IN THE 850-700 MB LAYER. DAMAGING DOWNBURST WINDS REMAIN THE PRIMARY HAZARD AS STORMS MOVE EAST/SOUTHEAST THROUGH THE EARLY EVENING HOURS. FARTHER SOUTH ACROSS WW 336, LATEST VISIBLE IMAGERY SHOWS INCREASING VERTICAL DEVELOPMENT OF A CUMULUS FIELD WITHIN A WEAKLY CONFLUENT ZONE OVER SOUTHEAST PA, WHERE STRONG INSTABILITY IS IN PLACE WITH MLCAPE IN EXCESS OF 2500 J/KG. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT HAS OCCURRED OVER THE PAST HOUR, AND ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT IS EXPECTED THROUGH EARLY EVENING WITH MULTICELL CLUSTERS POSING A RISK FOR DAMAGING WINDS AND PERHAPS HAIL.

Warning after warning right now. Triple bunning in the newsroom.

Some tree damage in athol and potential large hall in Petersham

Not sure what the negativity nancy brigade has up their bums but I like the look for some boomers and isolated severe

Come on, DeSantis........ Florida is averaging 2,241 cases/day, a 55% increase over the last 14 days. That’s 17% of all cases in the US. Florida needs to surge its vaccine effort

99% of covid deaths in june were unvaccinated

who ordered the code red

Where is my god damn badge

I'm in my own world of medicating pain @Ginx snewx style for the past week or two. Unfortunately due to methadone mile it's nearly impossible to get any help. It's infuriating.

he is currently finishing up his bottle of valium. Moving on to alprazolam, he is pacing himself. If he doesn't self medicate he will be posting in caps here until 1pm tomorrow. Glass of wine and a xanax. The housewife special.

This is from latest BOX AFD: 2) Severe Weather: The main concern will revolve around the likelihood of scattered strong to severe thunderstorms; roughly between 1 and 8 PM on Tuesday. This a result of an approaching shortwave in westerly flow aloft. Given heat & humidity; the SPC SREF indicates modest probabilities of MLCapes exceeding 2000 J/KG across a good portion of the region. Guidance is also forecasting steep low level lapse rates with a ribbon of 30-40 knots of flow in the 850-700 mb layer. The one limiting factor is weaker winds in the 500-600 mb layer, which keeps effective shear values lower than we normally want to see for a severe weather event. That being said, high resolution CAM simulations are pretty aggressive with impressive 2-5 KM updraft helicity swaths depicted by the 3 KM NAM and even the 18z HRRR to some extent. The 4 hour max updraft product is lit up quite a bit on the HREF too across southern New England. So in a nutshell, scattered strong to severe thunderstorms are expected to sweep across the region from northwest to southeast between 1 and 8 pm Tuesday. Steep low level lapse rates along with modest DCape values > 800 J/KG suggest strong to damaging wind gusts are the main threat with this activity. While storms will be moving, PWATs near 2 inches also support brief torrential rain/localized street flooding particularly if activity moves across urban centers. Lastly, we can not rule out an isolated large hail report or two given even modest steep ML Lapse rates. We opted to included enhanced wording in the forecast.

From the National Weather Service @ BOX "Good afternoon everyone, the main concern revolves around the expected scattered strong to severe storms that will cross the region from NW to SE between 1-8p tomorrow. SPEC SREF indicates probs of MLCAPE exceeding 2000 j/kg across portions of the region along with steep low level lapse rates and DCAPE values > 900 j/kg. That coupled with a ribbon of 30-40 kt at 700-850mb layer result in the greatest threat being strong to damaging wind gusts. While deep layer shear is more limited than we like to see for severe weather in the 500-600mb layer, we feel the parameters mentioned earlier are enough for severe weather. The CAMs are pretty aggressive with this activity showing flooding potential for bowing line segments, PWATs near 2.0 will also result in the threat of brief torrential rainfall/localized street flooding."