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TalcottWx

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Everything posted by TalcottWx

  1. 99% of covid deaths in june were unvaccinated
  2. I'm in my own world of medicating pain @Ginx snewx style for the past week or two. Unfortunately due to methadone mile it's nearly impossible to get any help. It's infuriating.
  3. he is currently finishing up his bottle of valium. Moving on to alprazolam, he is pacing himself. If he doesn't self medicate he will be posting in caps here until 1pm tomorrow. Glass of wine and a xanax. The housewife special.
  4. This is from latest BOX AFD: 2) Severe Weather: The main concern will revolve around the likelihood of scattered strong to severe thunderstorms; roughly between 1 and 8 PM on Tuesday. This a result of an approaching shortwave in westerly flow aloft. Given heat & humidity; the SPC SREF indicates modest probabilities of MLCapes exceeding 2000 J/KG across a good portion of the region. Guidance is also forecasting steep low level lapse rates with a ribbon of 30-40 knots of flow in the 850-700 mb layer. The one limiting factor is weaker winds in the 500-600 mb layer, which keeps effective shear values lower than we normally want to see for a severe weather event. That being said, high resolution CAM simulations are pretty aggressive with impressive 2-5 KM updraft helicity swaths depicted by the 3 KM NAM and even the 18z HRRR to some extent. The 4 hour max updraft product is lit up quite a bit on the HREF too across southern New England. So in a nutshell, scattered strong to severe thunderstorms are expected to sweep across the region from northwest to southeast between 1 and 8 pm Tuesday. Steep low level lapse rates along with modest DCape values > 800 J/KG suggest strong to damaging wind gusts are the main threat with this activity. While storms will be moving, PWATs near 2 inches also support brief torrential rain/localized street flooding particularly if activity moves across urban centers. Lastly, we can not rule out an isolated large hail report or two given even modest steep ML Lapse rates. We opted to included enhanced wording in the forecast.
  5. From the National Weather Service @ BOX "Good afternoon everyone, the main concern revolves around the expected scattered strong to severe storms that will cross the region from NW to SE between 1-8p tomorrow. SPEC SREF indicates probs of MLCAPE exceeding 2000 j/kg across portions of the region along with steep low level lapse rates and DCAPE values > 900 j/kg. That coupled with a ribbon of 30-40 kt at 700-850mb layer result in the greatest threat being strong to damaging wind gusts. While deep layer shear is more limited than we like to see for severe weather in the 500-600mb layer, we feel the parameters mentioned earlier are enough for severe weather. The CAMs are pretty aggressive with this activity showing flooding potential for bowing line segments, PWATs near 2.0 will also result in the threat of brief torrential rainfall/localized street flooding."
  6. 73F and comfortable at Faneuil Hall
  7. I'm in love with the readability of this mobile website. So here's a unique cloud shot from marina Bay. Nothing special. But see how sharp the sunset cuts off in that upper left corner? Must be lens playing tricks?
  8. Just nice to have the absolute downpours after the heat with a little lightning. Enjoying margaritas at a restaurant to be name later in Lower Mills. Scott would know
  9. Rainfolph and Braintree and some other areas are racking up the rainfall.
  10. Have to think we might need some flood watches or something. These might pound BOS and South shore.
  11. Actulllllllly I might be too far away
  12. We're about to get some awesome boomers
  13. OH crap it's a double badger "hall monitor"!!
  14. Should badge long term well behaved weenies
  15. I had many beers yesterday down the cape. 4pm and after is foggy. Looks like we cashed in on rain at home.
  16. Folks, it sucked in BOS. But I like lightning and rain.
  17. If you can get me any streets, appreciated
  18. Thank you! I am generally southern NH to E MA east of ORH for the reports I need. still greatly appreciated.
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