TalcottWx

Yeah, I don't see the heavy stuff expanding much further away from where it is now.

I think it's already pivoting now.

It's getting crazy here.

Yup.

Shocking for some, I know.

Snowing hard af here too now.

We're fine mid levels had banding signal looks like it's setting up.

I think pivot might be west of me. I'm just not buying the sudden death of this band

Western CT is going to get crushed by banding.

Mariano_wx?

Recent NAM and HRRR runs confirm GFS OP was a hiccup, imo.

There's nothing left to do but smile, smile, smile.

The way they chew on their mouth guards constantly is annoying. I can't unsee it.

I am absolutely scared of this right now.

It's just which side of 91 gets the most.

Here's a look at 7H on the 6Z NAM; I love the banding look over I-91.

Hmm

It's like they don't even think of CT.

Yeah, I'll take the banding signal over that.

I truly have no idea what people are talking about. Look aloft. If you're in the valley south of mass you're fine.

Ok man

CHAT GPT SAYS: Don’t forget the NAM’s N–W bias. (Yeah, raisin toast surprises and all.) But sometimes that “bias” is signal, not noise. In tight baroclinic setups, the NAM can resolve sharper frontal slopes and focused forcing that globals smooth out. Dec 2005 is the template: globals too far SE, NAM closer to the true frontal position. Jet interaction over a steep boundary led to rapid deepening and unexpected wind intensity. Same idea here. Globals look SE of the best QG forcing. If the initial low forms closer to Delmarva and tucks under stronger 500 mb diffluence, even a 50-mile west shift changes everything — track, capture, even stall potential — all NW of current global positions.

https://youtu.be/iKlD0fOg-sc?si=nGKgj9nXTig6ogHB

I think he will

ill be lucky to get over 2" on this one