WeatherGeek2025

ScreenRecording_01-22-2026 17-27-23_1.mov

I'd rather have GFS by my side than Euro since their upgrade a few years back!

that would match my snowmap

how much for nyc

8 inches for you

nam rolling

are they not seeing the sleet or they're counting the south trend

Long Island is getting way more than 4 inches

that looks south of 6z

GFS shows a blizzard for next Sunday, Cmc shows snow and than a blizzard coming up the east coast by next sunday! This is a real winter!

how's uncle what's it showing, driving to the city right now can't check. extrapolate the run if you don't mind ?

euro was also consistent with last weekends system going out to sea

great point it's southeast and primary weaker kinda what the Goofus is implying! if we can get that primary transfer another 30-40 miles southeast we are golden this could stay all snow for nyc and north

warmest panel

the sleet gets stalled out around queens and manhattan it could be a trend overall a good run 8-10 inches followed by some sleet city and south

cmc is south by about 20 miles

cmc looks weaker stronger confluence from the high by Montreal

you always win!!!!!!

I would love for the GFS to verify but it's the outlier. I am going all in with Euro AI. if Euro AI verified it'd be 8-12 in the city followed by sleet which would keep my snow for weeks on the ground. I'm happy with that and there's more chances of snow down the road!

are we about to get NAM'd?

toms river i meant

let's be realistic here for once the that i am wants to believe that but when models show that warm nose aloft, forget we will change to sleet from yorktown and south! Look for a trend that could push that warm nose down to let's say staten island or whatever. and boom we will all be happy. It could happen you want an earlier south transfer and you want that coastal to crank, that thing is a pos right now 1004 millibar low very weak at this time as it is being depicted. You want some type of 996 or lower for a chance to actually cool down those columns really quick and not have that warm nose creep north any further!

Stole this from NE @WeatherWillynot sure how accurate this model is NBM

GFS is all snow, and if we could push the other guidance 30-40 miles south we're good to go!

thank you