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overcautionisbad

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Everything posted by overcautionisbad

  1. Thats coming straight across the mountains, so it will just dry up
  2. What would be the most reliable short range model to use now? Btw your 12z Euro
  3. My expectation for tomorrow at this point is nearly nothing now. Maybe a dusting. I should have maintained my gut instinct I had earlier this week. That this may hit Hampton Roads some, but not us. I'll admit to me what might be memorable is inches of solid ice on the ground for an entire week or more.
  4. Not really. There have been plenty of cold stretches of winter with no snow.
  5. Possible. It's going to whatever it does models or not. In fact models are so all over the place I'm not sure anyone will be certain until its happening It would be funny if Richmond ended up with 9 inches of snow and TV mets had to get on tv and explain why they forecasted 2 inches. Wouldn't be the first time. Lol Doubt it happens like that. The realist in me says like 3 or 4 for me in Chesterfield. Possibly nothing. But also possibly 9 I guess. I'd give nothing higher odds than 9 I suppose
  6. He considers the first guess more of his prediction of things 72 hour before. Then says his first call is his first actual snowfall forecast Welp, gg I expect his last call map will be adjusted tomorrow.
  7. There is your 0z Euro. Personally, I think it ain’t going to be much here at all. Maybe an inch.
  8. DT has made his first call. Notes models are trending toward pushing moisture further north. Big notes here he pulled his 2 inch line much further south and has 4 near Richmond instead of 8. Idk, seems reasonable
  9. DT says his first call map will be out by 10:30 pm and that there will obviously be changes. Explains there almost always is between his 1st guess and 1st call. Says he's had the same process for 15 years.
  10. NWS Also, DT still believes Richmond will see accumulation based on the Euro. Calls saying the system is falling apart is trolling.
  11. Well GFS has started bouncing around last few runs. One thing to note is models have been off several degrees on temps. Makes me think cold air will not block out moisture as much as they predict.
  12. Jim Duncan is always pessimistic with snowstorms because he likes snow I think. John Bernier I never know when he's going to go aggressive or conservative. DT is very rude at times and loves getting poltical, but he's gotten more conservative woth some of his forecasts. He still gets very hyped on mid range models and people mistake some of his discussion for predictions. Doesn't Richmond Times Dispatch have a met? Haven't seen him in a bit
  13. Interesting. One thing to note with social media is Facebook recently ruined their search feature further making it hard to sort your search. Youtube did this too by removing the ability to search by recent upload. X is the only good social media design right now as far as searching for posts about whether. So, wouldn't be surprised if more turn to forums like this. But thing with this forum is complaints of never getting verification email for new accounts. So, might be lots of lurkers from that.
  14. I judt think Hampton Roads need to share the snow with Richmond. Tell you what. Everyone in Richmond and surrounding counties get vacuums out pulling toward us and everyone in Hampton Roads get leaf blowers to push some moisture toward Richmond
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