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Deep Creek

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Everything posted by Deep Creek

  1. Deep Creek
    Flurries here. Nice sized flakes. If this keeps up for 365 days we might scrape 0.5 inches out of it.
  2. Deep Creek
    I couldn’t believe it’s still showing those crazy snow amounts this afternoon. 8 members for RIC in the 17-26” range….bitch please! Like you said, def entertainment value. I will say I refer to it for non-winter storms to get an idea for its qpf depiction. For straight rain storms, I feel like it’s usually in the ballpark.
  3. Deep Creek
    The extra 4 hours are devoted to making all the incomprehensible intersecting lines on his forecast maps.
  4. Deep Creek
    We’ve had multiple accumulating snows here this (meteorological) winter. Parts of the RIC metro are just about at average for our climate. We’ve had more than one season of being shut out or close to it in the last 10 years. The “big dog” snows just keep getting rarer. We do have ways to win with them, but I think this winter shows what our expectations should be.
  5. Deep Creek
    I’m intrigued to see this evolve today! One thing is for sure…whoever is just to the north of the cutoff is going to be screaming at the radar returns to no avail. That actually might be us in RIC lol but we’ll see.
  6. Deep Creek
    Still mostly sleet here, but starting to see some glaze accretion on mailboxes and shrubs.
  7. Deep Creek
    Hopefully we’ve dodged the bullet with the worst case ZR amounts. Just went outside here in N Chesterfield and it’s still sleet. Temp at 19. That slug of moisture to the west is somewhat worrisome with temps only getting to the mid 20s if it is indeed ZR by then.
  8. Deep Creek
    I’m sure that’s probably in jest, but don’t. Keep at it. This world needs more passionate people!
  9. Deep Creek
    Yep. I can hear the pinging outside the window. Not even gonna get out of bed to see what’s going on. At least you got some accumulation! I checked the 511 cam near Brandermill just to get an idea and it looks paltry.
  10. Deep Creek
    Flurries here as well
  11. Deep Creek
    Same for RIC. Forecast was 24, and currently sitting at 20/-3.
  12. Deep Creek
    Ha, yea. I’m showing 20/-3 here in North Chesterfield. NGL, while I’m nervous about the freezing rain potential tomorrow, I’m kinda excited about not really knowing how tomorrow will play out and just seeing what falls…
  13. Deep Creek
    Being burned so many times in the past, I’m thinking 2-4” snow before we change over to sleet and then freezing rain.
  14. Deep Creek
    Wakefield’s map is probably more realistic, although I still think it’s overdone for metro Richmond
  15. Deep Creek
    lol, definitely a study! Makes you really appreciate the good storms we’ve had. Like 12/8/18. Looked to stay south of us up until about 24-36 hours before go time and then we got a foot easy. One of the nicest, cleanest surprises. Otherwise, here it’s just “here we go again”.
  16. Deep Creek
    Just saw the long range maps posted. Ughhh can we not be in the jackpot more than a week out lol.
  17. Deep Creek
    While the GFS has been consistent, I recall a storm we got last Jan or Feb (pretty sure it was Feb but can’t get locate the screen shots) where for like 12 or 14 straight runs it showed the heaviest band over us and then come game time…poof it went well north and we got 1-3” in Richmond metro. Anything is possible and other models being close is good and all, but in these types of setups it’s best to rely on our weather history and err on the side of mixing issues.
  18. Deep Creek
    Does it? Asking seriously because the snow and qpf map just posted wouldn’t indicate that. RIC at about 17” of snow at 1.35” qpf…where in the world is any qpf left for ice? edited to say that does the snow map include sleet? Just seems like it would be way overstating snow if there was significant ice as well.
  19. Deep Creek
    This. While I’m trying not to hyperventilate over the insane snow totals being shown, I think it’s worth remembering that in Central VA, with a storm track moving to the OBX, sleet is a real possibility here. As you said, its happened repeatedly. While I’d love to stay all snow, I’m curious if the short range models start to pick that up better as we get closer to Saturday.
  20. Deep Creek
    Absolutely! Staying cautiously optimistic, but that would be fantastic if any of those threats came to fruition.
  21. Deep Creek
    Right?! Yeesh
  22. Deep Creek
    It was a joke on DT’s frequently contradictory maps that have lines going every which direction. His precip onset time maps are also difficult to read.
  23. Deep Creek
    One of the nicest snows in a long long time. Just a beautiful snow, and an all-snow event to boot! 12 hours straight and still going! None of that snow to sleet to rain crap lol. Measured 5” here in Bon Air.
  24. Deep Creek
    Flurrying here in Midlothian/Bon Air
  25. Deep Creek
    Crazy right?! 10 hours of constant snow, albeit some light throughout, but 2 inches to show for it. We’ll take it I guess!
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