BristowWx

Just now, Interstate said:

The H5 at 90 is not nearly as good as the 6z... IMO

nope.  

at hr18 the high is now 1050...the low is now 1007...both stronger than 6z.  yep.  

1 minute ago, Buddy1987 said:

Nothing like a powerhouse 1051 HP sliding down into Montana at hr 63 on the Nam. That thing means business. This incoming airmass starting next week is something else seeing some of the projected highs toward next weekend 

interested if the icon holds this go around.  

2 minutes ago, Ji said:

What lol? Is that true

sounds like a bingo card space.  "data indigestion" ...BINGO!

9 minutes ago, Ji said:

We really need this event. There is nothing in the pipeline after it

The icon moving into the good guy camp was pretty big imo

Sent from my SM-A515U using Tapatalk
 

this wasnt really in the pipeline that many days...I rolled back the runs and it didnt look that promising 4 days ago...the pipeline could easily get active after this...we just can't know right now...plus there is the whole convective feedback issue which we can discuss later.

Just now, TSSN+ said:

It shows like a foot for parts of the area. lol 

I know but when you see it up north it’s a real sweet roll.  But yes this is a muffin with butter.  I’m starved as you can see

1 minute ago, yoda said:

Oh 

 

Better than 0z was for sure.  That would be just dandy for me.  More snow than I have seen in a bit of time

4 minutes ago, TSSN+ said:

Welp euro back by itself for now. 

Shame it’s such a disjointed look until things come together nicely in Maine.  

Icon looks decent to me.  Way better than 0z if you like snow.  Sharp rn/sn line right along 95

2 minutes ago, Ji said:

If the gfs caves it’s tonight. It’s pretty reliable within a certain time frame and if we can get last 00z and 12z tomorrow we’re good

Bad shit can happen at 6z…wake up, take a leak, check 6z, put whiskey in coffee…seen it happen 100,000 times already this winter alone

Just now, Buddy1987 said:

P14 or P29 ftw 

One thing for sure seeing that…I have no frickin idea what will actually happen.  

1 minute ago, LeesburgWx said:

Years ago, on this very board, I was trolled when I lived in Norfolk and told, “Want snow, then move north.”

So I did. Results haven’t been great…

Now we know what happened…thanks a pant load for heading up! 

Just now, WxUSAF said:

Mean of all the guidance is a nice event for us. Solid place to be 5 days out. Hopefully euro jumps back onboard at 0z or 12z tomorrow.

Or even some hint of that at 18z.  

Just now, stormtracker said:

To me, H5 looks better.   But full caveat:  I don't know what the fuck I'm talking about.

You can’t rent a car with shower curtain rings Del

528 line marches a bit further south.  Normally that’s good news.  Now I fear it will push things further SE.  

1 minute ago, stormtracker said:

@60 slight changes in the back..s/w hangs back every so slightly .  out front no diff

That’s good start.  Assume action in the back is what we need to focus on if we want this thing to pop.  

2 minutes ago, Terpeast said:

Is that the one next to the 13?

and how do you know that's the OP?

 

I thought 09 was one of the better ones in that frame.  Shows what I know…nothing 

1 minute ago, LeesburgWx said:

GFS leading the way again. We are good now

maybe it was some sort of convective feedback issue.  we do however excel at all to nothing model runs....so who knows.  

3 minutes ago, Maestrobjwa said:

A slightly more than modest Ka-boom 

its not that far away...some flakeage Monday night based on that run.  today is half over.....3 days and a wake up....not bad at all..and its getting better not worse toward game time...lots of good shit happening here

2 minutes ago, winter_warlock said:

Were those models ever really all that accurate? Lol 

I don’t even remember.  I think the GFS is the MRF and AVN combined.  But I can’t remember 

What about the MRF, AVN and NOGAPS?  We are all too fancy now for those models 

Everyone loves DC crushed at 138…then the Bob Chill face emoji.  That would be fun again

13 minutes ago, SnowenOutThere said:

You’d pass on 4 inches of snow an hour rates for hours? 

I’m drunk just make it snow!  I am not thinking clearly.  Either is fine.  

3 minutes ago, EastCoast NPZ said:

We had a 36 hour event the beginning of Feb 2022.

Would rather 6 inches over 24 hours than 24 inches over 6 hours.  Just like to watch it snow.  

3 minutes ago, Duca892 said:

Well that was a wet fart of a GFS run

This might have legs.  I wouldnt just smell it and walk away yet.  Let it linger a bit