bncho

10th looking spicy.

Please send the link.

Interesting. Things have trended better for Jan 4-6 today.

CPC's 3-4 week outlooks scream a lot of snow. Temperatures: Precip:

You guys can say whatever you want, but if you want to gamble on snow, now is the time. ESPECIALLY if you have a gambling addiction. Like PSU said, this is the BEST cold-ENSO pattern since 1996. I wouldn't even that surprised to see a day with highs in the low 20s and upper 10s. Do not worry if precip is hard to come by. Firstly, January is the least PWAT month, and secondly, if a storm hits from Jan 6 and onward it'll be snow 90% of the time. Jan 4-5 would be a bonus if we can get it, but I don't see that as the major thing to focus on. Jan 6-10 would be the time to watch. Unironically a blizzard redux had a similar date to that. I wonder what it was...?

Holy shit

Not really. In fantasy range it shows a nice little snowstorm of 4-6".

Guidance has stayed strong with this look. We just need to get to New Year's Day and have a strong storm signal around the 6-10th.

I'm not panicking--I'm just an impatient little bitch.

Yeah, it wouldn't take a lot to get 3-6" if things trend better.

Spin the snow wheel. It will decide your fate rile up Ji. https://wheelofnames.com/7e6-e9z

I feel as if everytime we're in the 528 line, highs are still in the upper 30s. But as soon as we reach 546, our highs are well into the 50s.

Great post. Where's the image?

The reponses somehow PERFECTLY represent each control panel of the ensembles. It's hilarious.

Nah. I got C-1" so maybe the wheel isn't on crack. Maybe it's more accurate than the models.

The Holy Wheel will decide your fates.

Spin this wheel to see how much snow we'll get on Jan 8-10. The first one to post what they got is the event that will happen. https://wheelofnames.com/7e6-e9z

Please send the map.

Snowstorm on the 9th for the GFS. Always nice to see the OPs reflect the ensembles.

Stop panicking, y'all. You can't live run by run from the OPs. That's a recipe for disaster. Check the ensembles. Though the ensembles show dryness, gambling on precip has a much higher ROI than gambling on cold. Sure, it'd be depressing if we don't get an inch of snow but look at the upcoming pattern - it's the best in years. Even if we do just get cold it shows that this area still can have a winter. Think about the torch December was expected to be. Now we finish somewhat normal in temperatures. I think NYC almost got 3" of snow as well! Stop nitpicking, appreciate the pattern, and once we're 120 hours from the 4th then we can get worried if we don't see snow.

I would take a miss on 1/4 for a HECS or BECS on 1/8-10.

Models haven't kicked the can, rather, they've been showing a stronger and stronger signal. GEFS was apparently on crack for a few days but it actually got its act together. Everything is in the right place at the right time. MJO will be in phase 7-8-1, -EPO, -AO, -NAO, +PNA (and guidance has its axis more west). I mean, I'm not saying it'll be a historic January by any means, but surely we can get at least one 3-5" event. Maybe we can even get a SECS or a MECS if we are lucky. This could be our best January in a while. No shit the blinds in sight for a good couple of weeks. EPS signal for 4th: EPS signal for 8th-9th: GEFS signal for 4th: GEFS signal for 8th-9th:

The only time DCA got above 17.8 inches. That's how it was truly epic.

It's good that we have a good pattern upcoming for January. It stops everybody from fighting. We aren't arguing about superficial things. We're having a friendly discussion of what were the best snowstorms. If we get lucky we could get a MECS! Euro AI shows something like a Mid-Atlantic slider. Temperatures shouldn't be an issue.

Pivotal says there'll be mainly snow. Also, be glad - 200hrs out is MUCH better than 384hrs.