BarryStantonGBP

Yes lad, respect Gazza innit! What are your thoughts?

Told you bruv. I also had these as return dates so you can see where I'm coming from innit Next return date I have is for 16th September-ish for a weaker MDR storm and 25th September for a more intense Gulf storm. In fact GDM and a few ensembles are hinting at the MDR storm right now The CAGs are difficult to detect. for some reason ENS keep thinking it might be an EPAC/baja storm... because things seem to favour the EPAC more rn. but watch it flip dramatically I'm telling you innit I've got about 4-5 return dates for October as well

no wonder on my return dates using Gazza's theories I have a significant gulf storm from 22 - 28th September innit around LA/TX but idk what do you think bruv

I wonder if this means ironically if hurricane formation would be more favourable in 2025 than last year

Joe Bastard said there are similarities with this year and last year with the mjo placements only difference was that last year had lower amplitude so anyone screeching season cancel should sod off

too much stellas it's Saturday night innit and my return cycle calculations showed a storm in the gulf around the 3rd week of sep anyways lad it's based off cycles innit

check out GDM and the ensembles things will improve innit

I will bloody repeat AGAIN THE MJO IS BEING STALLED IN PHASES 8 - 2 AND WE WILL GET MORE MOISTURE DRAGGED UP DURING MID-LATE MONTH

It isn’t. I calculated the reason for a lull and it’s all linked to the lrc

No. Conditions will become more favourable then so you are being too optimistic

Don't bother with non-ens/ai models tbh

some models have 91l forming in the subtropics but I've already pressed X to doubt the atlantic = dubai or Karachi RIGHT NOW

Now GDM has 91L "Gabby" reforming in the subtropics "Humberto" becomes long track CV major "Imelda" goes for the gulf

Some models show an African wave and a cag around mid to late month

Ngl what if this becomes a struggle bus that dissipates in the caribbean

Shit mate that sounds crap innit and with the mjo coming in this could peak as anything innit? how did Helene and idyllica get detected?

What I means is assuming 91l takes gabby Does the gulf storm form before or after the storm behind gabby

@GaWx seriously mate is the storm depicted imelda or humberto

imelda or dumberto?

What strength do they read on the ens?