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BuffaloWeather

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Everything posted by BuffaloWeather

  1. I don't see that happening. BUFs 30 yr average is 30" behind SYR.
  2. There are quite a few good ones. December is usually WNY best month for lake effect as usually lake erie starts freezing the 2nd half of January in a "normal" winter. We live in a new normal where the lake doesn't really freeze anymore though. Obviously Ontario is good all winter.
  3. I'd say the majority of our largest LES events occur in December. Just need another one of these for @TugHillMatt https://www.weather.gov/buf/lesEventArchive?season=2010-2011&event=C
  4. 10000% December is by far my favorite winter month. If I could lock in 4 weeks of below normal temps in December with warm lakes it would basically guarantee us a decent winter.
  5. All the long range models show December as the below average month.
  6. I'll be in Alaska next week, looks like snow in the forecast while I'm there.
  7. first look at winter, not terrible. Reminds me of last winter.
  8. I'll be in Alaska for 10 days starting next week, pretty good shot of some August snow for the 2nd year in a row for me.
  9. Pretty drastic shift in the long range models. Now with a massive ridge out west and general troughing out east.
  10. JUNE TEMPS BUF: -0.2 ROC: -0.2 WAT: 0.0 SYR: -1.1 BING: -0.8 JULY TEMPS BUF: +0.7 ROC: -0.2 WAT: +0.8 SYR: +2.3 BING: +1.5 Average Summer Temps so far: BUF: +0.5 ROC: -0.4 WAT: +0.8 SYR: +1.2 BING: +0.7 So far this summer looks pretty close to normal. We will see what August brings but everyone is above normal besides KROC with their suspect instrument as everyone else in NYS is above for June/July.
  11. https://www.weather.gov/buf/2022July28WyomingCountyTornado?fbclid=IwAR2w-xTRMugtyoUGvlGkO2kAR9uSWqDDasa8VxcqBTQsCFcEIyIM5QQ_W6E
  12. Yep. We've been talking about it in discord. 100% a tornado on the ground and likely a decent one.
  13. It is worth noting that there are signals indicating a significant warmup to close out the first week of August as a strong 590-595dam H500 ridge expands across the central and eastern CONUS. As of this forecast update, the Climate Prediction Center still has much of the Great Lakes region under a moderate risk for excessive heat from 8/3-8/6.
  14. Super torch coming for first 2 weeks of August as the central ridge builds east
  15. Few videos of storm chasing today. 2nd video is the best.
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