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BuffaloWeather

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  1. https://www.weather.gov/nerfc/snow NWS pretty high with totals 8-12 here
  2. Colder air in the wake of the trough will start to move across the region late this afternoon and particularly tonight. This will allow for at least a moderate lake response on a west to northwest flow. While it will certainly be cold enough for lake induced instability...there remains uncertainty as to the steering flow... and for Lake Erie the amount of open water. Accumulations of at least 3-5 inches will be found southeast of both lakes tonight... with potentially several more inches possible in the lee of an nearly ice free Lk Ontario. && .SHORT TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/... Lake effect snows with some accumulations ESE of both lakes on Saturday. Lake snows weaken Saturday night with synoptic moisture stripping away and the influence from the incoming sfc ridge tracking across the lower Ohio Valley.
  3. Just booked a trip to south Florida in middle of March, so plan on a big storm during that timeframe.
  4. No matter how this winter went, this is extremely impressive
  5. Wonder if they put up Advs for southern Erie? RGEM pretty consistent
  6. My maps don't cover March really they are for rest of February.
  7. Interesting stats. Definitely a good year for snow depth. Almost 2 months straight here. Buffalo and Rochester's climate record is now 151 years, and half these years feature at least 1 day reaching the mid 50s by this time of year. In 2021, we have not had any extreme temperatures yet with the maximum temperature for Buffalo and Rochester only 44°F and 43°F respectively. There is an end to this current cold stretch in sight, with above freezing maximum temperatures much of next week and above normal warmth favored by the end of the month. Normal highs this time of year are in the mid 30s for Buffalo and Rochester.
  8. Buffalo is -5 for temps in February, making it the coldest month in years. We are 7.3" below normal for snowfall Snowfall to date: 65.7 Average: 73.0
  9. Everyone from the midwest/south/northeast gets hit by storm after storm, and we here in Upstate are the odd man out. After that incredible back to back synoptic storm bust, we move on to a lake enhanced/LES event. Watches up. Carry on... GSB Cities The 2020 - 2021 Snow Season Normal Average to Date This Time Last Season Normal Seasons Average All Time Season Snowfall Record Binghamton 84.5 57.1 58.5 83.4 135.2 inches (2016 - 2017) Buffalo 65.4 72.4 56.5 94.7 199.4 inches (1976 - 1977) Syracuse 57.0 92.4 64.0 123.8 192.1 inches (1992 - 1993) Rochester 55.1 70.5 77.4 99.5 161.7 inches (1959 - 1960) Albany 50.2 42.4 41.2 60.2 112.5 inches (1970 - 1971)
  10. And this was supposed to be round 2 of our back to back storms. I'm making a new thread, can't bare that thread title any longer.
  11. RGEM drops a foot on me. It's lake effect so you can use kuch. That model is falling off now too. All we have is the Germans left.
  12. We haven't exactly been killing it in Buffalo on SW flow. We've been far below average for 2 straight season too. We've had many terrible seasons the last decade including only 36" and 58" in back to back seasons from 2011-2013 and then again with 55" and 76" from 2015-2017. Our average was 78" for those 6 years. One could argue we've had it worst then Roc and Syr. https://www.weather.gov/buf/BuffaloSnow
  13. Also, I forgot to factor in the X factor in Tughill moving to central NY. That is probably by far the most important factor statistically speaking.
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