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Everything posted by Scott747

  1. Behaving as expected. Modeling has backed off somewhat the last couple of days and showing more of a stretched out system with no dominant center between the lower and mid Texas coast. At least there is a 'tropical' feel between the wave action and winds/cloud cover that is bringing some relief from the heat and eventual rain across parts of the area.
  2. Models have been flirting with the potential of a quick spin up off the Texas coast early next week. Seems a toss up right now of an organized tropical system, but should at least bring some well needed rain across parts of Texas.
  3. Meh so far. Maybe 35 sustained and 50 gusts at the casa. Took a dip down near the coast about an hour ago and it was about 40-45 sustained and 60 gusts. Probably getting a little rougher down there these last 30 minutes.
  4. Leading up to landfall in these last few hours and if it isn't some heavy hitting analysis or solid contributions and you see your posts removed... That's a good hint to take it to the banter thread.
  5. This special advisory is issued to raise the 12-hour forecast intensity to 135 kt, but it is possible that Ida could peak slightly above that before landfall occurs.
  6. AF305 will be making a pass in about 15 min. Currently approaching the eye.
  7. It had no business in the main thread. 'Opinion' away in this thread.
  8. Josh is moving up the coast. Should be a fun drive....
  9. That's what it's going to look like too after landfall once it hits those mountains. The disintegration of Karl was pretty amazing.
  10. That's 0z guidance based on 18z models...
  11. Not sure if there ever has been an upgrade on an intermediate advisory and then subsequent downgrade on the next full advisory. This certainly is a candidate.
  12. He has a place further e. Not much but could make a difference. I had him scout mexico beach overnight as i was leaning that way but this morning we both thought pc was solid with that out to the e if he needed to move.
  13. Josh is fine. I spoke with him a little while ago to confirm that the eyewall was looking like a miss. Forgot to pass along the news that it was a career defining miss - But I think he will recover....
  14. Josh was down to 979, but I told him that unless there was a last minute wobble he may just miss the eyewall.
  15. No idea about the guests. We just talk briefly about heading and presentation. And he may have lapses if TWC is asking him to do a report.
  16. Grrr.... And it's been debunked. Especially inside of 72hrs. Search for poster 'dtk' and has detailed explanations.
  17. For now I'd post them in the respective subforums.
  18. Josh never left the airport once he landed in Exuma. The idea was to be flexible if a relocation was needed.
  19. They really thought that was from Haiti?
  20. I know most follow him on twitter/facebook, so I'll just do some random updates in here if he's out of pocket.
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