Scott747
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Everything posted by Scott747
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Meh so far. Maybe 35 sustained and 50 gusts at the casa. Took a dip down near the coast about an hour ago and it was about 40-45 sustained and 60 gusts. Probably getting a little rougher down there these last 30 minutes.
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Leading up to landfall in these last few hours and if it isn't some heavy hitting analysis or solid contributions and you see your posts removed... That's a good hint to take it to the banter thread.
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This special advisory is issued to raise the 12-hour forecast intensity to 135 kt, but it is possible that Ida could peak slightly above that before landfall occurs.
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AF305 will be making a pass in about 15 min. Currently approaching the eye.
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It had no business in the main thread. 'Opinion' away in this thread.
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Josh is moving up the coast. Should be a fun drive....
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That's what it's going to look like too after landfall once it hits those mountains. The disintegration of Karl was pretty amazing.
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Low-level Reconnaissance
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That's 0z guidance based on 18z models...
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What 0z models?
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Not sure if there ever has been an upgrade on an intermediate advisory and then subsequent downgrade on the next full advisory. This certainly is a candidate.
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2019 Atlantic Hurricane Season
Scott747 replied to AfewUniversesBelowNormal's topic in Tropical Headquarters
Harvey part II in the fantasy land 0z GFS. -
Actually there is.
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He has a place further e. Not much but could make a difference. I had him scout mexico beach overnight as i was leaning that way but this morning we both thought pc was solid with that out to the e if he needed to move.
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Josh is fine. I spoke with him a little while ago to confirm that the eyewall was looking like a miss. Forgot to pass along the news that it was a career defining miss - But I think he will recover....
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Josh was down to 979, but I told him that unless there was a last minute wobble he may just miss the eyewall.
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No idea about the guests. We just talk briefly about heading and presentation. And he may have lapses if TWC is asking him to do a report.
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Just talked to him. 984.
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Grrr.... And it's been debunked. Especially inside of 72hrs. Search for poster 'dtk' and has detailed explanations.
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For now I'd post them in the respective subforums.
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Josh never left the airport once he landed in Exuma. The idea was to be flexible if a relocation was needed.
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They really thought that was from Haiti?
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I know most follow him on twitter/facebook, so I'll just do some random updates in here if he's out of pocket.
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Yeah the orientation of the island was at least a slight positive. I'm a little concerned about it missing him just to the west, but for now there is still a flight back to Nassau scheduled this afternoon.
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Josh is on Exuma. Decided against Cuba because of track.
