Rainforrest

1 hour ago, Blue_Ridge_Escarpment said:

ICON goes bonkers over WNC for the weekend storm.  Been the best model this year at least for this part of the state. 

Can you post a map?

5 minutes ago, WXinCanton said:

I like it

13 minutes ago, wncsnow said:

NAM kuchera output.. still snowing too ...

Awesome. How long does the nam show it snowing in western nc?

20 minutes ago, burrel2 said:

I could see this one busting majorly for the upstate in a good way. If we get heavy rates tomorrow morning and quickly overcome the shallow warm air at the surface, we could be off to the races with an inch of liquid falling down as heavy sticking snow at 32/33,(plus the sun angle isn't bad at all like it is in feb/march).  In the perfect scenario I think north of 85 could get 5 or 6 inches of paste.

On the other hand, the shallow warm air at the surface could hold strong and we get our inch of liquid with nothing more than white rain pelting down and melting on contact all day.

Warm nose at 750mb could also set up a little farther north than models show and preclude us from any snow.

Odds are something goes wrong and we get mostly rain or non-sticking slop, but there is certainly a non-zero chance we get pasted with significant snow-storm.

 

Edit to add: The southern Mountains are going to get smoked. I think that's a lock now.  Highlands/cashiers/lake toxaway, towards caesar's head will get get 6 to 10 inches, IMO.

Not according to gsp. Lol 

When does the cmc run?

8 minutes ago, wncsnow said:

This run is a SWNC/ Franklin special 

I’ll take it. 

9 minutes ago, griteater said:

Thoughts:

1. My forecast map is based on where I think the models will end up, not where they necessarily are now. 

2. I like a more amped up solution closer to the UKMet and CMC.  Warmer.  More precip back to the west, even more than shown - models are notorious for being skimpy with precip on the NW side with Miller A's.  Also, jet structure (right entrance region of strong jet) is excellent for building precip back west.

3. I was mainly focused on NE GA / SC / NC on the map...didn't look hard at N GA into Bama or other states.

Grit I’ll take that map and run. Lol