SnoSki14

Yeah I wouldn't doubt a repeat of winter in the east. These patterns can lock in for a long time.

Take a look at the 5 day EPS anomalies. Massive blowtorch signal. 2012 type stuff Anyone that thinks it's just a 1-2 day warmup is fooling themselves That being said. I do think it'll turn a lot colder end of March especially the last week. I also think March will have the warmest anomalies of the year. April-May will be a lot colder and even BN

If you think about how warm the west has been and we're getting this type of ridge here, it'll be much warmer than you expect. 80+ likely imo

What a blowtorch coming up though. 70s likely

It screams backdooring even down to Jersey.

There's definitely a strong backdooring risk though. SSTs are very cold

There's still a balance in play it's just that warmth will win out in most cases. And occasionally you get very anomalous events like the freezing temps in South Florida.

Only a matter of time before this region sees that. The northeast has been mostly shielded from this.

Models are cooking us in March. 70s widespread

Nah unless it's some monster March storm most are ready for spring.

After the early March threat there's a huge early spring warm up possible then maybe late March there's one more shot at something.

CMC gave it support so there's a chance

Agreed. We had a great winter so anything more is just extra. I think most will be happy with spring like weather

Some more support for the early March system than this.

Keep in mind our numbers are substantially lower on average than theirs. Their totals so far would be top 3 all time for us.