SnoSki14

The only thing I could see is the fast flow helping a system from over amplifying and if there's enough cold air in place we get some overrunning. That's prob the best we can hope for

I remember the 2018 Thanksgiving cold snap, that was some serious mid winter style cold

It's been pretty much the same winter pattern for the last decade minus a few blips here and there.

It feels that way. Same ole garbage pattern locked in for years. At least I got to experience an amazing winter stretch from 2000-2018

You won't see MJO 8, it's already curling back to COD

You always post the same day 15+ ensembles that show a supposedly amazing pattern that never comes to fruition

It's just pure hopium at this point. I don't see anything to be positive about. SE ridge looks pretty dominant and cold dumps west with troughing So cold/dry to warm/wet and vice versa will be the theme. Same storm tracks we've been seeing for years now

We obviously know it's just a LR OP run. Pattern doesn't look favorable for snow to me. Too much SE ridging, not enough sustained ridging out west.

Oh look the classic warm/wet to cold/dry and vice versa pattern. SE ridge comes back every time

If that trough buries out west then we're screwed. I suspect we'll get some cold intrusions given the -EPO but looks very meh overall.

Dude's a huge troll but strong RNA pattern will lead to trough out west and possible SE ridge out east.

RNA will kill your December, you can book it

Lock it in

Good luck with that dude. I see a very similar pattern to last year. And I wouldn't be shocked if the deep south got smoked due to some suppressed cut off while northern areas get shut out again. You will not get a storm unless the Pacific jet from hell abates.

Yeah but notice the coolest anomalies are out west which would indicate either a broad trough and/or a strong Pacific jet. If you're looking for snow, you're not going to get much in that pattern. This winter could very well be like last with relatively colder anomalies but a lack of snow due to unfavorable storm tracks.