SnoSki14
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There's not enough time for substantial weakening.
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We have about 8-9 hours til landfall. So it's a race against time with the shear. The storm has done a remarkable job fighting it off. No doubt the very warm, undisturbed gulf and jet stream alignment helped big time.
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Recon doesn't show degradation. I'm not sure what people are seeing. It's still generating very strong convection near center. It looks very steady to me.
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It's still a tropical entity that will bring an influx of moisture. I could see 2-3" amounts.
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The Nino is going to accelerate the warming to a degree no one has ever seen.
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Looks like a repeat of last month with the mega ridge to the SW of here.
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It's clearing out on visible
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2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
SnoSki14 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
You would need a massive Nino override for it to work out for us. Like a rare CC induced combo that actually produces a snowier outcome. -
2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
SnoSki14 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
We're gonna see some wild weather this winter and then next summer will be a disaster. -
Yeah could be a prolific rain maker as it comes east. Direct moisture inflow from very hot gulf.
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Oh man we're going to see a hypercane season once El Nino breaks
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Exactly so it's not trolling to say it will be a warm, mostly snow free winter.
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Warm but definitely not dry.
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2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
SnoSki14 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
I'm bracing for impact. My only hope is that the Super Nino and PDO act as deconstructive forces that somehow allow us to see wintry weather. -
2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
SnoSki14 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
If by interesting you mean 0 snowfall and +10F winter months then sure

