SnoSki14
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2026-2027 Super El Nino
SnoSki14 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
A Nino is just one piece of the pie. Sure it may affect other pieces but it's still a separate entity. And in today's changing climate the signals are more muddled. -
Strong Ninos are supposed to have cool summers and we'll be near normal at best
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2026-2027 Super El Nino
SnoSki14 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
We are also relying on analogs that might as well be from an ancient timeline. -
If you mean no more 100s then most likely but it's only July 23. Heat will likely return sometime in August
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Looks like an overall great stretch of weather coming up. Near normal temps, pleasant nights and mornings with lower dews. Drier weather
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What is this the midwest!
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It's been quiet south of 78 but we're getting sun now and lots of clearing so kinda worried about later
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Atmosphere is a lot more unstable vs the weekend. Severe potential is a lot higher later
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We're top 5 warmest from june 1 through July 15 or half of met summer. The hot stretches have been record breaking and the smoke didn't help either. After a cooler spell in late July all signs point to a lot more record heat for early August. Humans are like goldfish when it comes to weather though
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Major hurricanes can still happen if conditions are right aka Andrew in 92. Models are more bullish with this now too.
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2026-2027 Super El Nino
SnoSki14 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Too many variables, too many different areas of forcing, PDO signal is a total mismatch from a super Nino. Climo is out the window -
2026-2027 Super El Nino
SnoSki14 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
The lower heights doesn't mean it will be cold given the super Nino.

