SnoSki14

It's a lot more than milder. Mid to upper 80s late week

Yes that too. Noreasters rarely last more than a day.

Yes just because it didn't seem bad where you were doesn't make it any less noteworthy. A retro nor'easter in late September that caused widespread coastal flooding is significant. Gusts of 70+ were recorded. 3"+ amounts will fall. This is definitely a significant and pretty rare event.

The warm start to October continues to follow the theme of warmest anomalies to start each month since the summer.

Models really adamant on a lot more rain later as storm moves SW of us.

That's when the storm retros towards the coast so makes sense.

It does have that eerie calm before the storm feeling.

This will increase rain totals as largest totals are on SW side of retro low. This could lead to more tree damage as you get the rains plus winds. Fully leafed out trees too.

Current satellite looks pretty impressive. The prolonged nature of this plus high tide I think guarantees several places meet major coastal flood category.

It'll be very banding oriented rather than steady rain.

Models seem pretty locked in on this getting to LI or just south and heading due west into NJ a la Sandy. Obviously a much weaker version of that but could definitely result in major coastal flooding. Peak impacts are Sunday morning. A lot more rain than a Sandy solution given it'll be further north.

People are greatly underestimating how destructive this will be for the coast.

Like a tropical system with banding.

Kinda wild how different the solutions are this close in.

If the storm goes south of LI and towards Jersey then it will most certainly have a tropical component