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RUNNAWAYICEBERG

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Everything posted by RUNNAWAYICEBERG

  1. RUNNAWAYICEBERG
    Ah, the days when the euro was dead on with ec snow storms by being Dr No for nyc area folk.
  2. RUNNAWAYICEBERG
    Yea, up until I somewhat learned how to read a nam snow map and based my forecasts off it. Then, it’s no ones fault but the stupid computers.
  3. RUNNAWAYICEBERG
    Ooooh, I see it. Of course ORH still cashed in. I was in CNJ at the time and recall it being a major forecasting fail but never really understood why, scientifically. I berated twc and local news channels mets until PD2.
  4. RUNNAWAYICEBERG
    Yea that 2nd Jan event was good. It’s generally a good rule for coastal snows in WCT when E LI mixes.
  5. RUNNAWAYICEBERG
    For example: Mar 17 had the 500 low traverse over nw ct and points ne so it makes sense why amounts busted south of there. But Mar 01 had the 500 low traverse pretty far south.
  6. RUNNAWAYICEBERG
    Thats what I was looking at and still couldnt decipher it...I understand the dynamics why but couldnt put it together on the upper air charts.
  7. RUNNAWAYICEBERG
    Ugh Jan 05, another painful memory. Speaking of painful memories, I was looking back at Mar 01 charts and I still dont understand the “weaker” amounts south of pike. 500mb and 700mb both look like it should of put 2-3’ down from nyc northeast. What am I missing?
  8. RUNNAWAYICEBERG
    I think bermuda ridges can to be under modeled too. Seems like cold regions like Greenland, models tend to overdue the ridging and warm regions like the west Atlantic tend be to underdone. I have zero data to back this up though.
  9. RUNNAWAYICEBERG
    We wish it south now and flip the table in 6 months?
  10. RUNNAWAYICEBERG
    Boring summer weather is fantastic. Lets leave the excitement for the cold months.
  11. RUNNAWAYICEBERG
    Agree. Sorry but he ripped the gfs and other east models to shred. he ripped TWC for only going 8-12 in NYC. Well, when you are wrong, you should get blasted for it. Dont dish it if you cant take it.
  12. RUNNAWAYICEBERG
    Dood...your gonna get pounded. The later capture is perfect for you....and this will capture/stall.
  13. RUNNAWAYICEBERG
    I think a compromise is certainly reasonable at this juncture. Very tough forecast for the western edge...but it always is with these.
  14. RUNNAWAYICEBERG
    I'll take that for sure.
  15. RUNNAWAYICEBERG
    No, I think they are wrong.
  16. RUNNAWAYICEBERG
    Upton gradually shifted their map to the east, still showing insane amounts.
  17. RUNNAWAYICEBERG
    Euro is all alone again it will tick NE tonight for sure
  18. RUNNAWAYICEBERG
    I might have to take a nap to cool off my ocd....because I'm obsessing whether or not the euro will fail for the western part of the system. I'm torn.
  19. RUNNAWAYICEBERG
    Miller Bs seem like they take longer to develop than models indicate.
  20. RUNNAWAYICEBERG
    I can see 40" spots but after 2', it all looks the same to me....heaps.
  21. RUNNAWAYICEBERG
    That mini E-W weenie band does the trick.
  22. RUNNAWAYICEBERG
    I think we a much bigger deform band...like just a big blob of it for everyone, with minimal subsidence.
  23. RUNNAWAYICEBERG
    nice thoughts, good call,good luck.
  24. RUNNAWAYICEBERG
    I will always remember this model war until I get old and my memory fades away....this is a classic battle.
  25. RUNNAWAYICEBERG
    I've hugged the euro since it dropped 30 in NYC on 3 consecutive runs....to only see it tick east on the next 3. So yea, Im hugging it but I wouldn't be surprised if it ticked east again tonight, actually...i expect it to.
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