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RUNNAWAYICEBERG

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Posts posted by RUNNAWAYICEBERG

  1. 11 minutes ago, GCWarrior said:

    GFS continues to be reasonable.  NAM is doing NAM things.  Seems like the rain is more east though which is good, well for us western New England folks. 

    The Trend east is evident. Good sign for less rains WOR. 

  2. 31 minutes ago, SJonesWX said:

    why the fuck would terrorists take out a bridge in the middle of the night when there are so few vehicles on it? usually their goal is to terrorize-meaning kill lots of people. this isn't that

    Because, qAnon…

    • Like 2
    • Haha 3
  3. 54 minutes ago, Hoth said:

    Tupper Lake, NY it is. Just hope we can pull off a clear day.

    Are you heading up the night before? I’m looking for a spot for us but have not decided if we just travel the morning of and camp out somewhere random or travel the night before and go to an official viewing/party kinda thing. 
     

    I’m not feeling the pattern being conducive for clear skies…as of now.

  4.  

    On 3/18/2024 at 8:06 PM, CoastalWx said:

    This weekend had me cleaning out all mulch beds and access leaves/crap on lawn. So far ahead of the game. This early start has at least shown me where the weeds are that I need to terminate. 

    I dethatched and aerated but nervous about putting down step 1 of JG given several below freezing nights are still on the horizon. 

  5. 3 hours ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

    Yup, at least I never forecasted warmth just wishcasted (which didn’t work).  Can’t wait to freeze my ass off the next 3 weeks with 3 travel baseball tournaments! 
     

    This cold snap is fitting with last years, hopefully we go very warm by mid April again! 

    I hope so. We’re just Delaying the inevitable after another brutal winter…

  6. 47 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

    Actually it isn't - As I said, we might have to deal with a -NAO as an option, too.  It's weird the model summarily prints that out. Geez.

     

    I missed your -nao counter argument my bad so yes spring is far away. Euro doubles down too. 

  7. 3 hours ago, Typhoon Tip said:

    Can you imagine being a lone astronaut traveling at sub-relativistic speeds in the year 2450 ... The Earth is no more after the Quantum Computing Core came into nexus with AI ... and those seemingly lone survivors who were cut ties, they are now technological relics counting down their resources, praying that a habitable world, uncharted, might materialized out of the fog of infinite distances - probably around some uncatalogued red dwarf.  2 or 3 years light time beyond our solar system, maybe just for sanity's sake alone ... they still log their reports.  When the reality is there's no one left to receive the message. 

    That's what posting in this thread is like right now. LOL

    The models alone and in blend, look like this system is occurring on the gateway into milder regime flushing over mid latitude continent.  Milder and more spring-like.  The 850 mb may still have pockets of cool, or even cool (less like frigid) incursions from the N. But they are no longer back built off a -EPO loaded, -850 mb temperature anomaly mass ...

    The teleconnectors actually compliment this notion well.  With said -EPO gonzo by even early this week.  Neutralized and modestly positive from all three ens systems, ECM/GEF/GEP for the foreseeable future out to the end of the runs.   The PNA is neutral-negative.  This would ( and may in fact) be a foundation for actually driving positive temperature anomalies over the eastern continental mid latitudes.  However, we may have to deal with a west based -NAO - less certain.  The upshot for spring enthusiasts is that the cold over the Canadian shield by then has lost entirely to a modest +anomaly baseline. I.e., won't be as bad.  

    Considering also the calendar, this may in fact be the last winter event of this season that doesn't require a fluke/bowler event.

    Gfs is computing differently so we’ll see. 

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