RUNNAWAYICEBERG
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Everything posted by RUNNAWAYICEBERG
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Because that is the most likely south solution. A total whiff would be more likely if the ULL traversed across the south ala Jan 16 and never quite fully could climb up the coast. This ULL is across the upper midwest ie, less likely to be a whiff. The ‘whiff’ result would be a disjointed mid level mess, not a ‘it’s missing south’. Get it?
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The more likely scenario in a “shunted south” result is from disjointed mid levels causing weak surface reflection when the secondary tries to form.
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The pope’s forecasts are usually gfs driven.
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The early trends are clear. Both eps and gefs packages have been nudging further SE from a stronger 50/50 effectively setting up the mid range goalposts. Problem is, they are pretty ideal at a 6day lead time...like, what can go wrong. Ginxy will wakeup and scream it’s effin Tuesday.
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Nice ying and yang from a blocking event to a pna driven pattern. Something for everyone.
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70/30 Euro/GFS blend = crush job.
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Euro ticking, weenie’s percolating.
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Let’s not sweat gfs details.
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Block stronger this run, should lead to a colder solution. Regardless, we have a shot at something. Hopefully Euro can keep improving so Ryan’s first alert can be upgraded to final alerts and warnings.
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Oh the long duration was well modeled across the board iirc, yea.
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Euro was relatively bad in Jan16 for the north of Balt crowd. It had nothing north of Philly even at D2. gfs was also south. Nam had the north idea although it was too bullish.
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Clearly the sarcasm went way over your head.
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Long duration idea beginning to creep in.
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Well, that is the objective of TV programming after all. I just don’t see his first alert nor his programming in general as being strictly motivated by it.
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Everyone knows this, especially Ryan. Do you think his motivation to mention winter chances this weekend is to sell? He does not strike me as that nor does his station. I think you’re trying too hard to be annoyed at the media. I know you dislike what it is today but I don’t think this particular instance warrants that anger. Save a horse.
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He has me raining, that’s real news.
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How’s it look?
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I thought it was too soon for track probs but now that you mention that’s where your focus was on...you’re right.
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Sure, afterwards for you it’s different. But the general idea of it redeveloping under the block is there. About all we can ask for, for now.
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lol:
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Geezus. Hahaha.
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Good, now smoke it.
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You sure know to take the fun away. Keep it light dude.
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Helping PF stay sane. The last thing he needs is an EMA crush job this early in the season when climo typically favors him.
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Don’t worry. The Euro will erode the block slowly and by Fri, you no longer have to hang your hat on a rogue sref member.
