RUNNAWAYICEBERG

Got damn blue lobe.

Maybe, maybe so. Maybe not. Who knows. Nobody.

I’ll try my best, as always.

But yea...there’s deff room for this to graze the southern zones.

Not that different but play nice or you’ll get handcuffed to a hot dog stand in ORH:

Yea we need it dropped in earlier and further west. This won’t cut it. The trend has been to drop it in further east, bleh.

A big part of this hobby is to discuss potential even at d8. If all we did was discuss today’s or tomorrow’s weather...I wouldn’t waste my time. So If you can’t disparse your emotions from tracking then you should probably only post in the nowcast obs threads. You’re safer there. If you subscribe to the notion that models need to show a hit for YBY 4 runs in a row for 5 days straight...you’ll go broke. Otherwise, model chaos should be baked into your thought process and thus, should not be regurgitated over and over again.

I remember this like it was yesterday. Time flies though...geez.

Sharing is caring.

It’s there on euro and to a lesser extent, the cmc. Ah yea you’re right. H5 height field was misleading. Looking at H5 vort is clearer. The shortwave traverses across canada then gets deflected south by Dikembe Mutombo into our weekend system.

You can see it here breaking off and diving south:

It breaks off the backside of the jan 4th system as it churns in the 50/50 position.

That solution would give you a big rainstorm.

Blue balls...

Yea. The orientation is not favorable as depicted. The northern stream kept getting pushed into eastern Canada over the past several cycles so it is most likely a whiff unless you’re in se zones, they (you) can get grazed.

Made it a shade over 2” here. Had nice flakes for a few hours. My boy loved it out there.

@The 4 Seasons 2.2” Southbury CT USA

A little weenie band from Redding to Middlebury.

About an inch with mod snow. Feels refreshing.

Contingent upon how much help we get from the northern stream. I think there could be a minor amount of interaction which would lead to a more mid atl and south coast hit. Obv I’m hedging at d6.

It does seem like a boxing day setup. Not saying the sensible weather impacts will be the same, but the overlook reminds me of it.

We’ll need the northern stream to catch up some but with a developing anti-cyclonic flow, I think it’s doable.

Just keep the signal there and trend the northern stream more favorably over the next couple days.

If it showed a big hit we’d have the “all downhill from here” posts. But I’ll always prefer southern streamers to be SE in the mid range.

Fine where it is at d7.