winterwarlock

About 5 inches here in Belle Mead Nj

29 minutes ago, MANDA said:

Early look at some snow totals off CoCoRaHs

Thanks for posting. The site im looking  like wasnt this one..it was set up like an excel sheet where the cities and snow amounts were listed in grids and updated every 15 minutes

Anyone have that site that used to snowfall totals from like all locations in real time. It was real informative..saw it linked here a few years ago

24 minutes ago, weatherpruf said:

Was he the guy during Ida? If so he was excellent....

Yes but he has been wrong before with snowstorms

He is good because they do hours of in depth coverage that you dont get on tv. He goes in depth into radar looking at bands and where they are headed

Still thinks 12-18 could happen at the coast 

There will be haves and have nots

Curran doesn't  like the phase and says the tilt is more neutral

Still thinks easter nj and coasts gets pretty good amounts..its west of 95 thats the issue

Not quite half inch Belle Mead NJ

Dave Curran on News 12 insists this the dry air will win out west of 95

the low off the coast is further north and east of modelled per Dave Curran of news 12

anyone worried about that low pressure forming a bit further north and east of where it was progged...big concern

3 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

Surface doesn't tell you the whole story

I dont know it seems like the models are sort of coming into agreement for the most part. its a 4-8 event in north nj and nyc maybe some 6-10 amounts there down to central jersey and 8-14 to the coast 

4 minutes ago, coastalplainsnowman said:

Regarding last minute shifts, I always think about Feb '83 and Feb '89, and how each ultimately played out.

- Feb '83 leaving for school that morning the forecast was mostly out to sea, maybe 2-5 .  By 3PM with 6" down, NWS (remember the awesome TWC red scroll and even more awesome red background screen?) was still saying only 8-10.  Ended up with 16 by me.

- Feb '89 leaving for school we were expecting to be crushed.  Ended up with not a flake, w/Montauk & AC getting crushed.

If this board existed back then, would I have known the real score heading out the door that morning, i.e. was it already really apparent in the morning and TV/radio hadn't caught up yet?  How does that compare to today?

 

 

 

my favorite snowstorm of all time because it was my first real biggie. I did experience the one in 78. This one they talked about days before, almost a week, and were hyping it but then as we got about 24 hours to the event they started to drop totals and yeah they were saying 1-3/2-4. We all went off to school and I remember the snow starting in the morning sometime and it was already past the time they would call the half day. But it was a quick call for early dismissal immediately within the hour. Remember the big flakes that day the numbers kept going and going up...3-6, 4-8, 6-10, 10-14, 12-18 and then finally 18-24.  My first experience with Thundersnow. I think we had 23 IMBY, it was insane to experience that and it would be until Jan 1996 I would experience something that topped it.

Which is it?

25 minutes ago, wthrmn654 said:

almost exactly like the Mt Holly forecast map

10 minutes ago, jm1220 said:

UKMET went east a good amount. Verbatim warning level would be E Suffolk only. What a laughable model, like the NAM. Absurd. 

is there a snow map for that..thanks, or what does it show for NJ

can I ask how are people confident this is so much better when its barely more west than it was before.  Hasnt there been pretty good consistency with the GFS keeping this east, sure a few ticks east but why are people thinking its meaningful, it still appears nothing like the other models...

Its only 2-6 for many of us in Nj

Its still pretty weak for most of nj away from the coast ..2-3 inches

snow map please

3 minutes ago, LibertyBell said:

why are people complaining? It has 6 inches of snow from eastern parts of the city on east....this is exactly where you want it to be at this stage.

 

for plowing I will take the 4-6 and run i dont need more than that

any clown maps yet?

what about the mets on tv who said 1-3, how about mt holly that put out maps for 2-3 for central jersey