Scottie16
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Everything posted by Scottie16
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Not buying it. Also not buying the once in a lifetime ice storm in Texas. .
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GFS is.. something. .
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I think that’s all models hitting on something now. (LR) .
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Pivotal weather .
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Carver; would this system be apart of the energy that dumped record snows in Russia? .
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Boarder counties might luck into some snow tonight/tomorrow. .
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WRF2 trending cooler for tonight’s wave. .
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Wouldn’t we see more of a Cold Air Damming affect with this system? .
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Models still don’t have a grasp on a storm 24 hours out. None of the 6Z line up with current weather conditions. .
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Something of note* Most of the forum is well under forecasted lows tonight. It continues to drop imby (17•) .
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That GFS run! .
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0Z will be worth staying up for imo. .
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I’m hoping we see some action with the vort moving through Texas .
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Thank you! .
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-55.4 in the Yukon on the 26th. Coldest it’s been in that area in 26 years. They still are going through attic outbreaks. I couldn’t imagine driving through extreme temperatures like that. I believe it’s something with the programming along with the cold. Some models are suggesting that Florida will be colder than North Dakota Friday morning.. Seems like we have every ingredient but moisture and I see what the models say but it just doesn’t digest well with me. .
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ARW. I never saw a vort tighten and move direct west like that. Thanks Holston. .
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I think some of us have been spoiled in the past few years of a good thumping of snow early in January. We really don’t see that many opportunities this early so it’s a plus. I don’t believe any model has a direct handle on it. While some may agree on location/track they will differ in moisture/ temps. I used to be a big follower of David Aldrich due to how positive he was but since he left the area I’ve started talking to Mike Witcher and he’s still skeptical of what the models are putting out. .
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Could you clip the vort on the WRF? I tried but it keeps giving me an error. .
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Models are struggling, I’ve spent the better half of my day looking at all the SRM and it’s the least confident I have been with them in quite some time. .
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I wouldn’t completely check out on either wave. .
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I look forward to Carvers and others input here honestly. .
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Waiting for the rest to update, intrigued so far. .
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ICON with a uptick in moisture so far for the first wave .
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We are almost in SMR! .
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Seems like the west coast is experiencing that Pineapple Express you spoke on earlier. Id assume that’s causing some errors with each model. .
