SteelCity87

Just now, MikeB_01 said:

yes

I think we'll be just fine 

Just now, MikeB_01 said:

Amen. HRRR has 9.6" and still snowing at the end of the 19Z run

Is that the one that's showing loads of mixing? 

16 minutes ago, KPITSnow said:

With this,anything less than 8 is a massive bust.

Nws has been calling for 6-12" this entire time. They took their expected snowfall from 11.5" to 8".  Still well within the range. My point and click still shows the possibility of 6-13" and says the precip will change to all snow by 8pm. 

17 minutes ago, sunnykay said:

Snow just started in Crafton

Cheers to my Crafton neighbor Hope it's a good one!

Roads already getting covered in south hills

4 minutes ago, Rd9108 said:

tracking is half the fun though 

Absolutely but these minute changes are just adding stress it seems lol. I can't even keep up. It's gonna be a good storm! 

Think it's time we all take a break from everything and enjoy what's about to happen 

2 minutes ago, dj3 said:

I was driving home from st Vincent that evening. Heaviest rates I’ve personally ever seen. I remember getting home and checking the nam on the old ncep maps and we were in the light blue (0.75-1.00) for 6 hour precip. 

Was such a fine snow too. Just piled up. 

The majority of us have been on here a decade plus and I believe this is only the second time since 2010 that we've seen model runs like this less than 24 hours before a storm. 

I can't tell if it's 14 or 18 but either way I like it lol 

4 minutes ago, Burghblizz said:

Curious which model they're basing that off of 

Well then lol 

Feels like even small adjustments to track could add a good bit with this one for sure. 

15 minutes ago, north pgh said:

Precip seems to be moving into the south hills. Let’s see if we have any reports from our southern posters. Would still be nice to see a quick burst of snow before the event.

Freezing rain from the start down there 

Really can't decide what to do about work tonight. Was planning on calling off without a doubt but now?

2 hours ago, Rd9108 said:

Yeah they can't have a knee jerk reaction with every model run. Just yesterday my neighbor tells me we are getting 10-12. I wasn't gonna argue but I said I wouldn't be surprised if we got a lot less. The general public is clueless when it comes to the intricacies of forecasting. 

I heard multiple thinking we were getting 10" on Friday night lol 

Just want to point out that in the 13 years I've been on weather forums that this is by far the most active our sub forum has been 

2 minutes ago, north pgh said:

Sorry in advance if I offend anyone but some of you people are unbelievable. Wa wa wa! I have been posting since 2003 back on wright weather and have been disappointed more times than not. Currently we are expecting 6-9 inches of snow and maybe some sleet and freezing rain on Monday. This would be a big storm for us. If we are not in the bullseye people complain. We very rarely get the bullseye. Somebody always gets more. So what. Enjoy what you can get. If you want a 24 inch snow move east and you can get one every 5 years and hardly anything else. I am enjoying this winter very much. It reminds me of some of the winters in the 70’s. A nice variety. If we downgrade to 4-7 I will still take it. I don’t want to start any arguments. That’s just how I feel. Anyways 

I had something similar to this typed out a couple days ago but didn't post. You nailed it. We have had so many letdowns in the past that we can't even sit back and enjoy a great winter while it's happening. 

Good news is that it won't take much of a trend back the other way to be in a high end warning scenario? Am'rite? 

Just now, Mailman said:

Don't shoot the messenger.

 

Ouch

Nws call seems to be pretty good at this point. Even with the big swing on the nam we are still at a 6" storm 

1 hour ago, Mailman said:

Oh boy.

Just one run but it is concerning considering how consistent it's been with a thumping the past couple days

1 hour ago, north pgh said:

GFS still looks solid. No change at all 

Was worried. Nobody posted anything lol

How much further north can this thing really go? From what I can tell we're in a really good spot if you like 6+ snowstorms. 

46 minutes ago, north pgh said:

Canadian a direct hit twice. Going to be a long weekend of tracking

Early week and late week storm?