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ineedsnow

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    Wake Me Up When September Ends..Obs/Diso

    in New England

    Posted 

    Flood Watch
National Weather Service Boston/Norton MA
931 AM EDT Mon Sep 18 2023

CTZ002>004-MAZ004-011-012-182145-
/O.EXA.KBOX.FA.A.0014.230918T1500Z-230919T0600Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Hartford CT-Tolland CT-Windham CT-Northern Worcester MA-Eastern
Hampden MA-Southern Worcester MA-
Including the cities of Fitchburg, Windsor Locks, Milford,
Putnam, Willimantic, Worcester, Springfield, Barre, Union,
Hartford, and Vernon
931 AM EDT Mon Sep 18 2023

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

* WHAT...Flooding caused by excessive rainfall continues to be
  possible.

* WHERE...Portions of northern Connecticut, including the following
  areas, Hartford CT, Tolland CT and Windham CT. Portions of
  Massachusetts, including the following areas, Eastern Hampden MA,
  Northern Worcester MA and Southern Worcester MA.

* WHEN...Through late tonight.

* IMPACTS...Excessive runoff may result in flooding of rivers,
  creeks, streams, and other low-lying and flood-prone locations.
  Flooding may occur in poor drainage and urban areas.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - Widespread rain totals of 2-3 inches and a current 1 and 3
    hourly flash flood guidance below that threshold, combined
    with very wet antecedent soil in the watch area.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

    Wake Me Up When September Ends..Obs/Diso

    in New England

    Posted

    3 hours ago, ineedsnow said:

    Watches will be updated in my opinion.. enjoy the floods 

     

    Today
    Showers, mainly before 11am, then rain after 11am. Patchy fog before 9am. High near 66. Light east wind. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New precipitation amounts between 1 and 2 inches possible.
    Tonight
    Rain, mainly before 10pm. Patchy fog between 9pm and 10pm. Low around 54. North wind around 6 mph becoming west after midnight. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New precipitation amounts between a half and three quarters of an inch possible.

    qpf_acc-imp.conus (2).png

    qpf_acc-imp.conus (1).png

    qpf_acc-imp.conus.png

    we tried to tell them 

     

    box.png

    • Like 1

    Wake Me Up When September Ends..Obs/Diso

    in New England

    Posted

    25 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

    Enjoy the floods out East. WTTTE.

    Watches will be updated in my opinion.. enjoy the floods 

     

    Today
    Showers, mainly before 11am, then rain after 11am. Patchy fog before 9am. High near 66. Light east wind. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New precipitation amounts between 1 and 2 inches possible.
    Tonight
    Rain, mainly before 10pm. Patchy fog between 9pm and 10pm. Low around 54. North wind around 6 mph becoming west after midnight. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New precipitation amounts between a half and three quarters of an inch possible.

    qpf_acc-imp.conus (2).png

    qpf_acc-imp.conus (1).png

    qpf_acc-imp.conus.png

    Wake Me Up When September Ends..Obs/Diso

    in New England

    Posted

    2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

    These setups are generally kind of easy to scope out. There’s almost always a 7-10 split between SE Mass and W MA. Box is def missing the NW max . But you and me should be around .50 or so give or take . 

    tune is changing a bit now

8 PM Update...

* Scattered showers arrive overnight mainly across the interior
* Overnight lows bottoming out in the upper 50s/lower 60s

Mid and high level cloudiness was increasing ahead of the
approaching shortwave trough this evening. As previous forecast
mentioned...there will be some warm advection showers developing
towards and especially after midnight focused across the
interior. However...the strongest forcing/widespread heavy rain
threat will hold off until the daylight hours Monday when
rather robust surface/850 mb low for this time of year lift
northeastward into southern New England.
    • Like 1
    • Confused 1

    Wake Me Up When September Ends..Obs/Diso

    in New England

    Posted

    12 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

    BOX still thinking SE Mass special which makes sense. Enjoy it out that way . We’ll take under .50 

    The focus looks for this to be, as one would expect, along the
SE quadrant of the deepening sfc low, which would favor SE Mass
and E RI. This is coincident with deepest destabilization where
MU CAPE values are roughly 300-500j/kg. Anywhere all these
factors are realized, rainfall rates exceeding 1.00 inches/hour
are possible.

While the focus will be across SE MA/RI Mon afternoon/evening

    that was before the NAM came out.. im sure it will change now that mesos have shifted

    • Like 1

    Hurricane Lee--Glorified Nor'Easter or Legit Tropical? Near Miss or Direct Hit?

    in New England

    Posted

    26 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said:

    Was rocking from 11am or so till mid pm

    saw a bunch of surfers around the point just south of the wall . Nice clean surf 10-14 foot faces in biggest I would guess 

    the nearby Bouy 44098 jacked up as the storm gained enough latitude that the outer cape stopped blocking half the swell energy , and that slow down and pivot of the storm between 6-10 am really Aimed swell producing winds toward N shore of Boston to SE NH (Further east in Maine wasn’t really blocked as much by the cape so they had good swell for last day plus 

    Yup pretty wild day. Made it all worth tracking a storm that wasn't lol

    • Like 2
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