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ineedsnow

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    December 2022 Obs/Disc

    in New England

    Posted

    6 hours ago, HoarfrostHubb said:

    Weather wise I would give my hood a C-   Decent snow (14ish inches). AN temps but enough cold to give me a white Christmas and for snowmakers at my hill to get things done. 

    if I was still in the valley I would rate it a   A or B but for the hills c- works lol 

    • Like 1

    January 2023 Obs/Discussion

    in New England

    Posted

    1 hour ago, Typhoon Tip said:

    ICON's a nasty ice storm for the Jan 5-7th signal...  It was a more impressive 00z solution than the other guidance.

    I'm still not completely sold on this models usefulness one way or the other, but I see it listed out on the web and some times mentioned in AFDs in NWS and so forth.  It must get some street cred?      who knows.

    But, the signal is still real folks.  It's not that far away anymore, either.   I'd like the see the GEFs come around. The EPS has some vague look at a coastal.

    We're not in threat mode.  This is still signal eval.   I don't think we're going be sending 582 heights up to NJ this whole month though, so long as the numerical PNA index sustains, albeit modestly, a positive SD.   This in fact appears more related to hemispheric 'elasticity' in the rather abrupt/recent disappearance of the NAO blocking over the western limb. It is in fact a strong positive mode... but is presently ( I believe) over-compensated and will settle back.  Probably when/as this thing comes along next week is resonant timing. 

    ya that threat is legit GFS had it a few days ago

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