ineedsnow

getting closer

@CoastalWx lol 1st was 6z today second is 0z 

10 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

 Nothing near here,  but a spectacular intensity forecast fail for Hurricane Otis in the EPAC. Not sure I’ve seen anything like it. From barely recognized on globals yesterday to a cat 5 forecasted. Even NHC caught with pants down.

actually just looked at this storm and was kind of shocked 

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Boston/Norton MA
156 PM EDT Mon Oct 23 2023

CTZ002>004-MAZ017-018-RIZ001-240700-
/O.NEW.KBOX.FR.Y.0004.231024T0600Z-231024T1300Z/
Hartford CT-Tolland CT-Windham CT-Northern Bristol MA-
Western Plymouth MA-Northwest Providence RI-
Including the cities of Hartford, Windsor Locks, Union, Vernon,
Putnam, Willimantic, Taunton, Brockton, Foster, and Smithfield
156 PM EDT Mon Oct 23 2023

...FROST ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM TO 9 AM EDT TUESDAY...

* WHAT...Temperatures as low as 34 will result in frost
  formation.

* WHERE...In Connecticut, Hartford, Tolland and Windham
  Counties. In Massachusetts, Northern Bristol and Western
  Plymouth Counties. In Rhode Island, Northwest Providence
  County.

* WHEN...From 2 AM to 9 AM EDT Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Frost could kill sensitive outdoor vegetation if
  left uncovered.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Take steps now to protect tender plants from the cold.

• nice Halloween snowstorm CNE to northern New England on the GFS

16 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Just a lackluster year 

https://x.com/kitchencivilian/status/1716061282795737403?s=46&t=dhcbvkjmRcyBVQtDxJ3lRg

you should take a ride on rt202 between Belchertown and Orange.. Spectacular right now

it seems like every storm this year has been a problem for models.. this is just insane

I know its rain... but it looks like snow coming down on this webcam drops must be huge.. 

https://www.holycross.edu/webcams/recreation-center

looks like a very wet afternoon here

lets dig this a little more and suck in the Tammy leftovers 

NAM crushes tomorrow

2 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said:

I actually heard a rumble then and the dog jumped up and barked.

I dismissed it as a big logging or gravel truck going by but those are infrequent and usually not at night. 

hour or so ago?

9:08 pm she messaged me saying that has to be a meteor 

she just told me it sounded like rolling thunder

9 minutes ago, dendrite said:

Probably a sonic boom from a meteor

my gf heard it at home in agawam visiting my mom

1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said:

Pretty common for your area just west of the ORH hills spine to see first flakes on our first big cold shot on a longwave setup like a lot of ensembles are showing. That area tends to get some rotting flurries or snow showers from any dying LES that survive over the Berkshires…and then they usually dry up completely before reaching further east unless there’s a disturbance aloft to keep them going. 
 

ill be happy with that.. being just above a 1,000 im sure it helps here

3 minutes ago, dendrite said:

degrees?

december 25th bank on it lol

hoping for 70 or more this year but we'll see

1 minute ago, Torch Tiger said:

You should...I'll jinx it, you won't see a flake in Novie 

Either way, at least NNE and possibly high terrain SNE could see first flakes in that type of overall setup.

im pretty sure i'll see atleast flakes in November but time will tell

Just now, Torch Tiger said:

Yeah it looks like a decent cool shot to end the month into November.  Time to start a new thread?

go for it

Just now, CoastalWx said:

Not sure he understands climo.

even if it is warmer they will snow

18 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Yeah. Actually looks an awful lot like 10/10/79…with that wave developing along the frontal boundary. 

Regardless, EPS is really hitting the cold hard on todays 12z run for Halloween and just afterward. 

 

hopefully we see our first flakes soon

10 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

The ones Monday and early Nov once looked potent too . Now both back off 

looks cold to me

9 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

First flakes for ORH county?

we can hope! but I think it will be just warm enough so we rain