ineedsnow

0z NAM coming in way colder for tomorrow afternoon 

Down to 34 hopefully cools a bit 

Getting some light drizzle now

Euro is perfect!

30 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2022/12/major-long-duration-winter-storm-likely_15.html

map looks perfect

3 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

There was this weenie property around 1400 feet in Ashburnham I used to always want when driving up there.....it was pretty close to Mt Watatic....I'd love to be camped out there tomorrow, lol.

my girlfriends mom lives at 1400 in Ashburnham near mount Watatic lol 

well whether we get 2 or 12 going to look awesome with the wet snow sticking to everything

4 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Yeah it’ll be interesting. 00z euro cooled 925 by about 1C tomorrow morning which brings it closer to other guidance (but still not all the way). But even on euro you are now below 0C at 925 during the storm through midday tomorrow. 850 starts around -5 and warms to about -2 through midday. But it’s trying to show mostly rain for you during this time. 

6z Euro looks a tad east to me.. can't see temps yet but hopefully it cooled

33 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Man, I just got finished looking at 06z stuff (which cooled just a smidge) and it’s hard for me to see how that map doesn’t bust up in N ORH county. But we’re gonna find out real soon.

ill be watching 12z closely this morning for a trend in either direction

44 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

I have no skin in this game so it’s easy for me to say. I will take the over from ORH north and especially where Dave and Ineedsnow (what’s your real dam name lol) are. 1-3”??

instill think Kevin could see 2-3 possible. 

lol Jeff

Box going 2 to 4 here maybe 3 to 6 near the NH border.. I think they will bust low looking at things this morning

2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

All out pastebomb for Dave and Ineedsnow. On nam anyways.

ya 3k and 12k destroy

1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said:

That is absolutely drool-worthy for interior elevations. It would be hard not going full-throttle if I was still operationally forecasting for those towns up there. 

what would be your gut call for here?

3 minutes ago, Professional Lurker said:

Where are you living now? I thought that you were in the Springfield area, but judging by your posts on this thread, you've moved. ... must have missed that.

Sent from my SM-A505U using Tapatalk
 

ya i was in Templeton MA now 

3 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said:

BOX has my area at 1000’ asl in northern Worcester county as only getting 1-2”.  
Elevation is important but further west and north helps as well

Precipitation...

Complex forecast for Friday into Saturday, with some lingering
uncertainty in the details. Temperatures in the lowest levels of
the atmosphere will marginally support snow, especially during
the daytime hours. Thus, accumulation snowfall across southern
New England will be very elevation-dependent. Expecting a sharp
gradient between where the snowfall accumulates significantly,
versus those that are mainly rain. A small change in temperature
could lead to a large change in snowfall. Will need to monitor
temperatures closely through this event.

At present, confined significant snowfall accumulations at
elevations at or above 1,000 ft. The consistency of the snowfall
for most should be heavy and wet, trending to a drier snowfall
at the highest elevations of southern New England. This may
change with later forecasts, so stay tuned

3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

LOL at that gradient near the MA/NH border. 

ill lose it if that actually happened

NAM crushes

3 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

It was colder early on....but its starting to be warmer in the more recent frames because the dynamics are definitely weaker this run.....but we'll how it looks in another few frames...it may go to town here overnight friday night.

still mostly snow here

NAM starts off colder then warms by hour 48

18z NAM looks even colder

1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said:

I think you and I need another half tick or so to get into something meaningful. I’d be feeling excellent on my old stomping grounds on winter hill….I may make an appearance there on Friday. You’re old stomping grounds are a lock. 
 

At least it’s still trackable though. 

meh box not liking worcester county thought they might issue a watch but guess not

5 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

EPS didn't move too much from 06z....maybe a very small tick E.

 

Was hoping to see more of a shift.. it's so close to being BIG here

1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said:

The track is almost perfect....850 stays below freezing for everyone N of MA/RI border now on the Ukie, but it's still trying to furnace 925 (but it cooled a decent amount there too versus prior runs)

depending on how the Euro looks maybe they issue watches this afternoon