ineedsnow

looking forward to this next week Tuesday A chance of showers. Partly sunny, with a high near 69. North wind 6 to 9 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%. Tuesday Night A chance of showers. Partly cloudy, with a low around 52. North wind 3 to 6 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%. Wednesday Mostly sunny, with a high near 69. Northwest wind 5 to 7 mph. Wednesday Night Partly cloudy, with a low around 53. Northwest wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening. Thursday Mostly sunny, with a high near 71. West wind 3 to 6 mph.

moved east at 6z back and forth continues

Not really if you look what recon is finding.. its a mess tight now

I don't think its going to be to far east in the end.. but should miss

still time but something big would have to change soon

12z for comparison

still ots but the 18z models just took a significant shift west

That would still be fun to see.. last year I went to hampton to watch the waves as a storm passed by and was in awe

Some give up to easy.. the chances of getting anything are minimal here but doesn't mean you can't drive somewhere for some fun.. some members of the EPS would be fun for the cape.. until they all go far ots we watch

12z EURO east of Bermuda

That northern vort on the GFS that I think is screwing with the models was further west this run.. once again the GFS follows it but ended up way west of 6z this time..

12z GFS doing the same again and gets pulled north because of it

GFS is chasing that northern vort.. once this gets figured out I think we will know more.. the models that are further west don't have it

Some don't though and actually curve west a few would even threaten NC

Look at the 6z Euro ensembles and tell me you can write this off 100 percent

6z EPS took a pretty big shift west from 0z. I definitely wouldn't say that yet.. some would hit by the looks of it at hr144 and most track west of Bermuda now

6z EPS trying to suck me back in lol

Ugh didn't even know about it.. that looks sweet

18z EPS definitely has more west members and some might be fun if it went past hr144

18z EURO a bit west through 90

we would need a bunch of things to go right.. its a long shot for sure

kind of and just saying what needs to happen.. Gfs is close to being better

if we can get this to track a little further south and west it could become fun.. 18z GFS still ends up OTS

At hr 60 way southwest of 12z

Might be a weird run of the GFS