ineedsnow

we did.. look at the eps and gefs members compared to last night

even better if it were to hit it wouldnt take much wind with saturated ground to start knocking over some trees

pouring here

wont have to be close to this for flooding rains even if it goes just off the cape

EPS coming west but not enough yet.. looks to be some good members though

18z best track has Lee a cat 3 again

that was close to something much better lets see what the EPS shows

it was a good jump west though

west of 0z thats all I wanted to see

I think flooding would be a huge issue if Lee comes close.. already going to get a ton of rain this week

landfall around the same spot as 0Z

A bunch of New England hits on the GEFS

There kevs second hurricane on the GFS

This will suck a few people back in

Even bigger spread on the GEFS now

lets see if the GEFS follow

that was a big shift on the GFS

huge shift on the 12z GFS

that would be big surge in eastern areas coming at that angle

12z ICON

I know its the NAM but just looking at trends for 0z and the trend looks to be our friend

you can update between 12z hr150 and 18z hr144 https://www.weathernerds.org/models/ecens.html?&inittype=zoom&initfield=MSLP_Surface&initcycle=determine&initfhour=144&initimdimx=1050&initimdimy=685&initrange=50.000000000000:258.000000000000:0:350.000000000000&initcx1=0&initcy1=0&initcx2=0&initcy2=0&initcross=False&initsound=False&initsoundx=1&initsoundy=1&initloop=False&initoverlay=False&initlstart=000&initlend=240&initlint=6&initol1=MSLP_Surface&initol2=null&initol3=null&initol4=null&initol5=null&initcities=Off&inithgwys=Off&inittracks=On&initlows=On&initlatlon=Off

18z EPS looks like it would have more west members

just had the closet strike of the year flash then BOOM!! sounded like something exploding in the yard

we lightning house just shook