ineedsnow

That storm in eastern NY needs a tornado warning

Hoping for something good to.chase later on.. got about another hour or so until the graduation party I'm at is over.. suns out hot and.muggy.. waiting for things to pop

I think after 4 is our best shot

It's going to have to clear out soon if we want to see anything today

Given strength of wind field throughout the column, combined with high instability and steep low level lapse rates, greatest risk is for strong to damaging winds, with highest probabilities across western CT, including Hartford county into western and central MA. In addition, anomalous wind fields thru the column combined with model soundings showing large curved hodographs and high STP values of 1.5-3, yielding an elevated risk for tornadoes. CSU machine learning probs, updraft helocity swaths from the HREF and NCAR wind probs all support the potential for a high end severe weather event 18z-00z across western-central MA, possibly into northwest CT. Convection is expected to arrive in RI and eastern MA in a weaken state, as greatest shear and instability remain northwest of I-95 corridor. Secondary concerns are large hail and brief heavy downpours.

LFG ...New England to the Mid Atlantic... At the start of the forecast period, scattered thunderstorms are likely to be ongoing near the warm front from southern Quebec southeastward to southern New England. Insentropic ascent along the front from a 30-40 kt LLJ will continue to support scattered storms near the frontal zone through the morning hours as rich boundary-layer moisture (dewpoints in the upper 60s to low 70s F) are advected northward. In the wake of the early morning convection, filtered solar heating will allow for moderate destabilization over much of New England. Most guidance shows 1500-2000 J/kg of MLCAPE developing by early to mid afternoon despite only modest low and mid-level lapse rates. More than sufficient for strong updrafts, scattered storm development is expected first near the warm front and subsequently along the trailing surface trough. Deep-layer shear profiles of 45-60 kt support both supercells and short line segments. With a favorable parameter space for organized storms, damaging winds, isolated hail and a few tornadoes are possible. Confidence in a corridor of locally greater severe risk remains highest across portions of southern ME, VT, NH and west-central MA. Here, area model soundings show large curved hodographs with ESRH of 250-350 m2/s2 and STP values of 1.5-3, near the climatological maximum for the region. With the potential for a mix of supercells and line segments, the risk for tornadoes appears somewhat higher. Eventual upscale growth into a linear cluster may also support a locally greater risk of damaging winds toward the coast later this evening. Additional storms are possible as the cold front moves through later this evening, though multiple rounds of prior convection may limit the severity of any subsequent convection later this evening.

tornado number 3 tomorrow?

What's the timing on this tomorrow? I haven't really looked much into it

We hope this is the start of a better day tomorrow.. won't be able to chase until after 4 though.. afternoon graduation party to get through first

Lots of wind with those storms to the west.. in westfield until 530... hoping for something

It says winchendon got it also but looking at the track it doesn't even look close to there..

That storm by west Glenville NY might produce something

happy first day of Summer.. the days just get shorter from here

Wind starting to crank

Insanely dark here getting breezy with lots of thunder

Just missed this part of westfield but more firing a few miles west of here now

Lots of thunder here in westfield

This! How anyone can actually like this crap is beyond me..

ya I am

it shook enough where I thought it could have been a earthquake.. the strike wasn't even that close weird

holy shit just had a wicked house shaker.. never felt one like that before

you can see the rain working down the valley.. Springfield next

mod rain down to 74

Strong inflow with he storm to the west