Intensewind002

Best ever looking hurricane not to make it to Cat 5?

The main thing I learned today is how lucky we are to have recon, any other basin and Eta would've probably been deemed a cat 5 ( and earlier this season, Delta would've probably never even made it to major status without recon). Is Eta the best ever looking storm not to get to Category 5 status?

Im going to go with 165 - 175 mph and ~920 mb. Similar to Andrew or Felix

2 hours ago, Maestrobjwa said:

Well sheesh I mean...what would it have to be to be akin to 2005 then? Lol

Multiple Cat 5s, multiple sub 900 hurricanes, lowest pressure in an Atlantic hurricane on record, a cat 5 and high end cat 4 in july, and 4 landfalling majors in the US are the main reasons 2005 still reigns at the top in my mind

1 hour ago, cheese007 said:

So with 3 Atlantic majors in October-November for the first time in recorded history, and with more activity likely in the weeks ahead, does anyone still think this season is a "bust?"

Even though it's no 2005 or even 1933, this year is easily a top 5 season. Only those years and maybe 1995 edge 2020 out, and with Epsilon, Zeta, and now Eta, is ahead of 2017 for me personally. It could probably pass 1995 depending on how the next 10-15 days play out

Pretty strong gusts here, wind is dying down a little now but had a 47 mph gust at around 10 am

Decent rain event today, picked up about .55"

What are we going to see after post-season reanalysis?

I could see at least 3 of these realistically happening

Hanna upgrade to Cat 2

Marco downgraded to TS

Nana downgraded to TS

Paulette upgraded to Cat 3

Sally upgraded to Cat 3

Gamma upgraded to Cat 1

If they actually had recon in the WPAC i could see this storm having something like an 875-885 mb pressure at its peak intensity, and probably something close to Patricia in terms of windspeed

No freeze here yet, had a low of about 35. Still the coldest of the season though

Didn't get any snow mixing in here, but there was a little bit of sleet. Currently at 40°. Final rainfall total is 1.45"

Im at about .92" of rain now, wind picked up a bit, highest gust here now at 37 mph

Picked up about .84" of rain today, highest wind gust was 28 mph, winds have only picked up within the past couple of hours though

3 hours ago, crossbowftw3 said:

Of course the 53 MPH forward speed isn't even close to being a record, as the LI express hurricane is believed to have been moving between 60 and 70.

 

Nonetheless the dry slot will punch in and shut down most of the precip until that second low rolls in, with the precipitation likely all but over by sunrise-10 AM or so tomorrow.

 

Interesting trends for New England though, as advisory snows might be looking likelier there now.

I've wanted to ask this question before, but since the 1938 hurricane was moving so fast, were the winds not very strong on the western side of the hurricane?

The NHC wind probability map is showing ~20% chance for 40 mph 1-minute sustained winds, and ~5% for 60 mph for the nyc area. Seems a little high too me, unless the models have trending stronger with the wind potential. That combined with the 2-4" of rain might cause some issues

My dad works for Metro-North and he took snow duty overtime up in Connecticut (I think they had around a foot where he was) and he came home with a bunch of videos of the near blizzard conditions for me. After I watched them, I remember being so dissapointed about living on long island, and then my dad says "it's only October, I'm sure we'll get a lot of snow this winter if this is how it's starting". We all know how that turned out lol

I was only in 6th grade at the time but I remember the temperature getting down to freezing or just below on the morning of Oct 30th and Halloween in 2011 imby, we picked up a trace of snow here on the day of the storm too but the temps hovered in the mid 30s that day

Had a high of 69 around a couple hour s ago when the sun peeked out briefly, but it's gone back down to 67

Could go up to 5 or 6 majors if reanalysis says Paulette or Sally reached minimal Cat 3 strength

Went down to 41.9 in Lindenhurst this morning

Picked up an additional .21" last night. Storm total at 1.28"

Rain has gone down to a drizzle now, total rainfall so far is at 1.07" for me

Winds weren't very strong here in Lindenhurst last night, highest gust was 34 mph

Contrary to popular belief this morning, looks like our seasonal Cat 5 streak is going to end

Total amount of rain for me in Lindenhurst was .70" for this one, highest wind gust was 38 mph