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About Brian D

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Four Letter Airport Code For Weather Obs (Such as KDCA)
KTWM
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Location:
Two Harbors, MN
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LES bands starting form. Getting some snow right now. Little earlier than expected, so possible 6"+ in town is possible.
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Rain to wet snow, then it'll freeze up to a ice block. Typical early season snow. UP MI looking at 3ft in some spots with syn/LES combo. Here in town, I think 6" would be a big surprise. 4" max is my thinking. Warm lake. But higher terrain should do well. NWS DLH is good at overestimating. Most storms barely hit min guidance around TH.
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NWS Duluth getting frisky with this one. Here on the shoreline, expecting lower guidance 3-5". But the higher terrain could do well here. The bulk of the precip hitting at night when temps are a little cooler, coupled with colder air mixing in will help with this one. Ground will cool off fast, as well.
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Only 0.21" so far this month here. 2.18" is the avg for Nov. A very dry Oct-Nov up here. Oct was 10th driest with 0.63".
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Ever since the 1998 super El Nino, temp profiles changed up here. After the Pinatubo eruption effect wore off in the mid 90's, it was like a switch was flipped. Urban sites aside, even rural sites show this pattern change.
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Now that gov is open again, have data for Sept & Oct. Both on the warmer side. 5 & 10 yr trend charts for each month shown respectively.
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Clouds here last night. Hope this eve will be good.
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3 x-flares with 3 CME's coming together for what could be another event similar to May of last yr.
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11/8-11/10 First Snow and Lake Effect Event
Brian D replied to Geoboy645's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
I've been having snow shwrs in my area since yesterday. Dusting in town this morning. -
And so it begins (on the MN Deer Hunting opener) on Sat. YAH U Betcha! Saturday A chance of snow, mainly after noon. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 37. Calm wind becoming southwest around 5 mph in the morning. Saturday Night A slight chance of snow before midnight. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 22. Northwest wind 5 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph. Sunday A chance of flurries. Partly sunny, with a high near 36. Northwest wind around 10 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph. Sunday Night Partly cloudy, with a low around 20. Northwest wind 5 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph. Monday Mostly sunny, with a high near 36. Northwest wind 5 to 10 mph.
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Wind adv out for today for strong SW winds. Leaves are blowing around pretty good. Last few days, lots of tweety flocks, and even a few geese flocks moving through.
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Roller coaster pattern with precip mainly confined to N areas of the sub, and some LER/S for early Nov is what it looks like. Hoping mid month will see some decent organized stuff. I have something possible for Veteran's day on the 11th, and the pattern mid month may produce something worth talking about.
