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About Brian D

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Four Letter Airport Code For Weather Obs (Such as KDCA)
KTWM
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Location:
Two Harbors, MN
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Nov 28-30th Post Turkey Day Winter Storm
Brian D replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Glad to see some good snowstorm action for you guys down there early in the season. Usually it's us N guys that see all the action this time of year, except for some LES events. -
Snow showers around here. Yesterday aftrn had a couple snow squalls that reduced vis to 1/4 mile or less really fast. They were brief. Nice to have some wx action for a change these past few days.
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Winds into the upper 30's this morning. Snow been blowing around pretty good. N WI over into the UP getting hit hard. They already had around a foot early this morning. Radar not picking up W UP, but it would look the same.
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Reports coming with 6-13" away from the Lake to 3-5" along the shoreline. Decent storm. LES should be intense over in the UP later today into tomorrow.
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Reported 4.0" this morning here in town. Blew around, and drifted some, so took multiple measurements. 7" reports last night along the higher terrain. Should be a little higher when the reports flow in. So the my 4" thinking did come to pass for town. Looks like LES just to my NE with a nice band over N WI. Probably just some snow showers left for me today.
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LES bands starting form. Getting some snow right now. Little earlier than expected, so possible 6"+ in town is possible.
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Rain to wet snow, then it'll freeze up to a ice block. Typical early season snow. UP MI looking at 3ft in some spots with syn/LES combo. Here in town, I think 6" would be a big surprise. 4" max is my thinking. Warm lake. But higher terrain should do well. NWS DLH is good at overestimating. Most storms barely hit min guidance around TH.
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NWS Duluth getting frisky with this one. Here on the shoreline, expecting lower guidance 3-5". But the higher terrain could do well here. The bulk of the precip hitting at night when temps are a little cooler, coupled with colder air mixing in will help with this one. Ground will cool off fast, as well.
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Only 0.21" so far this month here. 2.18" is the avg for Nov. A very dry Oct-Nov up here. Oct was 10th driest with 0.63".
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Ever since the 1998 super El Nino, temp profiles changed up here. After the Pinatubo eruption effect wore off in the mid 90's, it was like a switch was flipped. Urban sites aside, even rural sites show this pattern change.
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Now that gov is open again, have data for Sept & Oct. Both on the warmer side. 5 & 10 yr trend charts for each month shown respectively.
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Clouds here last night. Hope this eve will be good.
