Ahoff

1 minute ago, TheClimateChanger said:

Not to be argumentative, but it’s been nearly 10F warmer than normal so far. Doesn’t look to change much by the 10th. If it’s +10F on the 10th, it would need to average nearly 5F below normal the rest of the month just to hit normal. So both of those forecasts could be correct.

Our average high this time of year is around 70, This week doesn't really look 10 above average.  And if a majority of them month is below average, in my eyes it's below average, lol.

I doubt it will be three weeks of below average though.  Honestly, they shouldn't even put out those long range predictions, they almost always change.

CPC is looking like cooler than average from the 10th through the end of the month (from their May 3rd prediction).  In direct contradiction to their April 30th prediction of an above normal May.

We'll see how it shakes out.

Really amazing that the 2nd half of April recorded less than .3” of rain and we still ended up among the wettest April’s.  Was a really nasty first half, nice second half.

Wonder if we could see our 90s May drought end this year.

Pretty benign.  Was windy before the rain started.  Have some pretty common thunder and lightning.  Run of the mill here, and that’s fine.  Not the case everywhere I assume.

Might actually get nasty this evening.  The extra sun probably helped the instability.

The line around Slippery Rock looks vicious, but looks like Allegheny largely misses the worst as they slide south east.  Thats good to me, already lost power twice today with the, don't want to see damage or more rain at this point.  We just don't need it.

Absolutely perfect out there right now.  Looks like our first 80 degree day of the year.  Feels nice with the low dew points too.

On 4/5/2024 at 12:38 PM, TimB said:

On this day last year it was 85 degrees. Today it’s snowing.

Ahh, the joys of a Pittsburgh Spring.

On 3/26/2024 at 3:29 PM, TimB said:

I’m going to go with August 2025. It’s the month that has gone the longest without being below normal (last time was 2017, which broke a streak of 18 straight above normal months), but it’s going to be a hot summer and won’t happen this year.

A slightly above average summer with below average number of 90 degree days.  That's the theme.

On 3/7/2024 at 2:13 PM, TimB said:

God damnit, we’re going to get screwed out of our warmest first week of March ever because of these damn low clouds keeping us from getting into the upper 50s.

The record will be irrelevant as there’s no chance we’ll have the warmest March anyway.  2012 will stand for a long time.

2 hours ago, TimB said:

February especially tho. We now have 2017, 2018, 2023 and 2024. It’s more likely in recent years that we have notable heat than snow.

Then that could reverse in the latter half of the decade.  Such a small sample size cannot be used to make such sweeping statements.

4 hours ago, TimB said:

February is becoming a fringe winter month.

Let’s not jump off the bridge with just the past few years of data.  Before 2016, February 2015 was literally the fourth coldest month of all time.

Looks like 3.7" officially.

1 hour ago, Rd9108 said:

Official total and what many received are definitely different. Definitely got between 6 and 7 in the city. 

Yeah, there was an easy 5 probably 6 in my area.

3.3” officially at KPIT yesterday.

Just now, TimB said:

Ah but the NWS office isn’t at the airport, it’s a little north and that’s where the obs is taken.

Still don’t see how they aren’t going to get 3”.  Seems the whole area should hit that 3” threshold.

There’s a 6.5” report in Imperial.  I don’t see how the airport doesn’t reach 3”.  And if it doesn’t I don’t think I could trust the recorders.  The airport was absolutely seeing parts of that heavy band.

7 minutes ago, meatwad said:

Winter Weather Advisory
for Allegheny County

Issued by National Weather Service
Pittsburgh, PA
8:10 PM EST Fri, Feb 16, 2024

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST SATURDAY...

* WHAT...Snow. Additional snow accumulations between 2 and 4 inches.

* WHERE...Portions of northwest, southwest, and western Pennsylvania and northern West Virginia.

* WHEN...Until 7 AM EST Saturday.

* IMPACTS...Roads, and especially bridges and overpasses, will likely become slick and hazardous. Plan on slippery road conditions.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Be prepared for slippery roads. Slow down and use caution while driving. If you are going outside, watch your first few steps taken on stairs, sidewalks, and driveways. These surfaces could be icy and slippery, increasing your risk of a fall and injury.

Please report snow or ice accumulations by calling 412-262-1988, posting to the NWS Pittsburgh Facebook page, or using Twitter @NWSPittsburgh.

&&
 

2-4” additional!  This is overachieving.

Radar looks pretty good tbh.

Definitely a few inches here already.  A surprise for sure.

Winter weather advisory for 2-4”.  Let’s just get that and run.

9 hours ago, TimB said:

And if we’re looking to long-term snow averages at the end of the decade, we’ll already be replacing the 72.1 of 1992-93 with the 17.6 of 2022-23, and now we might be replacing the 76.8 of 1993-94 with like 12-15” in 2023-24. So that’s like a 4” drop in the calculated normals in and of itself, even if the rest of the decade is similar to its 90s counterparts.

This is assuming we don't have any winters with 60"+ in the coming years, and there is no way of knowing that.  Next year could be the snowiest ever.  It's always possible.

Well the models definitely busted.  The fact that we got about nothing at all is pretty impressive really.

In classic Pittsburgh fashion the advisories are spreading from New Mexico up the Ohio River to Cincinnati, skips us and then starts again to the east.  Just classic, lol.

2 hours ago, Rd9108 said:

That was theb6z and that was for the PD time frame not next Tuesday. Next Tuesday looks like our max would be a moderate event. Just seems like the storm doesn't get really going until it's east of us. 

The point is there’s potential, whether it’s Tuesday or President’s Day the next two weeks should be more interesting.