Drop the Trough

BTV uses the word coastal in today's AFD , so there is some differences in opinion I guess, or they are flat out wrong in their analysis.

BTV: A coastal low pressure system approaches the Northeast on Saturday, bringing the potential for numerous hazards. Widespread precip will begin as snow Saturday morning, but as temperatures increase throughout the day, accumulating mixed precipitation and rain are possible. Precipitation will continue through Sunday, becoming more scattered, though the threat of mixed precip remains. Downslope winds are also a concern along the western side of the Green Mountains on Saturday as breezy easterly winds are expected ahead of the approaching low. Because of the duration of the event, hydro-related concerns also exist for the weekend, and will be monitored more closely as the weekend approaches. Uncertainty remains regarding precip type for the weekend event and will be reassessed through the coming week.

no more or less than this one at 196 hours out . It was being discussed in a discussion thread because it was being modeled at the time, by both the delusional and the not much of a chance camp. Better discussion than it's 40 at my house or my yard is back to brown brown....

we were miller bee'ing at that same time frame for this weekend's event.

What happened to the Miller A, B, or Montreal Mauler for next weekend? Strung out 48 hour drizzler?

wasn't he calling for a pattern change to warmer after December 9th just 3 days ago? He changes with the wind, brags to everyone how he is the only met who can accurately forecast 3 weeks out, but he changes his forecast every few days.

yeah but the weeklies were saying the same thing about the 2nd half of Novie back in early November, multiplier sources were onboard, ski resorts in the mid Atlantic opened, bt that's now a distant memory.

we grow

Negative PNA?

big negative PNA coming, this pattern needs to snap back like rubber band, the west will enjoy some run of the mill base building in the mountains after 11/21, too early to lock in cold in the east, besides, my grass seed isn't done germinating and i have one more milorganite treatment to lay down.