Prismshine Productions

GEFS shifted south btw

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Any help from the EPS?

I'm surprised nobody posted it, but this was the end of the 6z NAM (12z is running now, out to hr15 so gonna be a bit)

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How are the 6z EPS ensembles?

You’re getting 6”+ of paste.  

NBM, @HIPPYVALLEY still want all rain darling? XD

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Checking in from Vermont, how are you all doing my friends?

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Probably progressive bias, but Navy model went way south.  Basically a non-event 

Just for fun, 90th percentile

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We have this thing doing a blizzard loop over se MA on Thursday PM now....get that over the islands, then we can talk HECS over SNE.
But as is...I see why the discrepancy over saying the Uk is inland....it must be doing what the EURO is....technically it is inland, but not because it's a hugger....it's doing a blizzard loop and getting captured.

Looks like the trend tonight on the EURO and UK is to not allow it to escape and really capture/tug it back west....believe that when I see it. It's often modeled and seldom works out....even within 12 hours we see model fails on that.

Wow...EURO is a doozy

GEPS coming in a bit less impressive...not really north, just a bit weaker.

Latest NBM

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Decent storm overall for this time of year am I right?...

*this is just the 25th percentile map*

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I'd like to see a shift south of the GEFS and EPS to consider it.

.

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One thing I have noticed is that the timing has slowed down... initially, it was Tuesday morning, and now it is for the most part on Wednesday

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Good…keep it there at this point.  But I think it’s getting lost. 

GFS looking like mixed slop over me for most of the storm, ew not a repeat of last week please and thanks

Sleet at 93 but the whole column is at/below 0c? Huh?...

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Through 45, GFS slightly south of 18z 51

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At this point, unless we can trend a more dynamic system a little more south,  I am rooting for plain rain here, rather than an inch or two of glop.  

That’s a big event for a lot of NNE mtns.

Ah, screw it, send in a Monads big dog. Let's get that season total over 100"!