kgottwald

Twenty minutes of snow in Tysons Corner and it's already changed to sleet. The snow gods curse NoVa again!!

6 hours ago, psuhoffman said:

Not just but the snow is a significant factor. But I have an amazing view, big property, it’s nice up here in the summer. It’s a great property to raise kids. But the snow was a part of it. I barely can tolerate the typical level of snow here...I couldn’t be happy living in DC or Baltimore. Up here I know I’m guaranteed at least some decent snow every year.  But frankly I can’t wait to move somewhere that gets like 150” a year and has snow on the ground from Thanksgiving to Easter. 

I wonder what housing prices are like on the Tug Hill Plateau.

7 hours ago, Maestrobjwa said:

I think if Thursday doesn't work...then from a historical standpoint, then we might be able to call it. Not  winter has ever produced anything sizeable (that is at least 5") between February 21st-28th, and March is, well...March, lol So next week could be our last shot, I'm afraid

February 1986 had three snow events on the 22nd, 24th and 26-7th: 3.6, 3.6 and 1.8 inches respectively at DCA.

2 minutes ago, SnowenOutThere said:

I'm starting to think that if we want snow in DC or Fairfax County we need a nuclear winter. 

Or a Yellowstone supervolcano eruption.

I wonder what the climate around here was like in 20,000 BC when the glaciers reached to Central PA.

52 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said:

Some posters would be disappointed in March ‘93. 

I was.  Historic amounts were predicted and in Vienna/Tysons we got six inches . . and then drizzle.

Edit: I seem to remember predictions that it might equal or surpass 2/11/83.

But we're also probably going to go two whole winters without a single sub-freezing high at DCA.

1 hour ago, JakkelWx said:

Cutoff lows ftw

2018, the year of the atmospheric river

13 minutes ago, dukeblue219 said:

I agree - days like today are always disappointing, but it's still enough snow to play and sled and have a snowball fight.

The real busts are days like Mar 2013 that just kill your soul.

My biggest disappointment was Christmas Day 1985 - all the TV mets were POSITIVE that we were going to have a white Christmas! 2 to 4 inches was predicted even though Christmas Eve had been 58 and sunny. 

What actually happened was several hours of sleet and enough overnight snow that, if you squinted really hard, there was some white in the cracks on the sidewalk. A Post article the next day claimed the "cold air stalled over the Appalachians". Whatever primitive Neanderthal forecast models they were using back then were nowhere near up to the challenge but Gordon Barnes and Bob Ryan were just treating the outputs as gospel and basically wishcasting.

12 minutes ago, blizzardmeiser said:

Worst ever. Just to the east was hit hard.

The forecasts for that storm were so horrendously bad that I stopped paying attention to the forecasts for the rest of that winter; apparently there was another major forecast bust at the beginning of March 2001 that I fortunately missed

6 minutes ago, frd said:

North Central NJ on that image from the ICON is a snow magnet when it comes to Miller Bs.  Wasn't that a hot spot for Boxing Day too ?  

Remember December 30, 2000? DC was supposed to get 4 - 8 inches from that storm. We got CLEAR SKIES, while Northwestern NJ got bombed with 25 inches.

Here in Vienna, VA, the moderate snow stopped around 9 a.m., and it's been nothing but light or very light snow since.

I was pretty sure yesterday morning that DCA would end up with only a trace - it always, always underperforms in snow events. Just 16" in the 2016 storm when everywhere else in the immediate area was two feet or greater. I wonder if the location only got 16 inches during the Knickerbocker storm that dumped 28 inches at 24th & M.

Just changed to sleet a couple minutes ago in Tysons Corner.

https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/mesowest/timeseries.php?sid=Kiad&num=168&wfo=psr

Switching to five-minute observations hasn't worked in days.

And composite reflectivity no longer works on the NWS radar.

Is NWS running out of funding to maintain these or something?

On 10/21/2020 at 7:53 AM, nj2va said:

This winter already beats last winter.  I’m not even sure we got a storm within 10 days on a model.  

Remember 1997-98? So warm that there weren't even any snow threats in the DC area.

Tired of bringing my umbrella every day because the NWS predicts heavy storms, only to feel like a fool when it's sunny all day.