I’m not buying the light precip, assuming WAA is under modeled, there should be more frontogenesis too. Thermals are the main issue, although I do think that Griteater’s precip map isn’t that far off. .
Even know that these snow maps look nice, don’t be surprised if there’s a lot more sleet than modeled due to the low level warm nose. Obviously if ULL shifted south, it would as well. I’m optimistic, but not married to our chances.