Prospero
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Everything posted by Prospero
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A question that is important for GOM coast communities; is there much as far as future models for storms that pop up and become powerful storms that are not waves from Africa? I know here in the Tampa Bay area, we've woken up to TDs that formed overnight just off the coast with a big surprise to many of us. Waves off of Africa are tracked for a long time, but GOM storms are short notice. Right?
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Everybody keep posting until past the election please, or I will lose it.
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This would keep us all busy...
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I think I'll be saying it was an exciting year and a win (from this point forward). We've had enough landfalls already that people are going to be dealing with a very long time. I love a storm as much or more than anybody, but I'd be tickled pink with nothing but a record fish spinner that we can all talk about for years. (Might be a few ships out there not so thrilled...)
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Francis, September 5, 2004. Charlie had just passed to the south close enough for me to watch roof tiles and window shutters fly down the street like newspapers in Sun City Center. Francis was huge and blew wind and poured rain, and was impressive to watch and listen to. Francis was affecting the entire Florida peninsula. Jeanne came by soon after in the middle of the night and it was after it moved over the Gulf that trees blew down and power went out for days. It woke me up around 3 AM as it was trying to suck a window A/C unit from my bedroom making a horrible whistling sound. I grabbed a sat pic soon of Francis after as the eye was over us on the 5th (see below).
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My crystal ball is all over the place. October 13th/14th is a doozy in the Gulf, but landfall is vague with Teddy. The stars appear to hint at Texas...
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I'm glad Omar is not heading to Baltimore. (Enjoyed watching "The Wire.") Dropped in here this evening, and surprised the activity in the last couple hours. What fun! We in the Tampa Bay area of Florida experienced what was to become Omar a few days ago, and so far maybe the tropical highlight of the season for wind and rain. That is not a complaint, believe me. But also happy to not totally miss out in 2020...
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A butterfly flaps its wings...
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Anywhere from 4 to 6 inches of rain or more today and some gusts over 50 mph in the Tampa Bay area. It likely will continue somewhat for the rest of the night. There is some substance to whatever it is, and does look like it will go out to sea. At times as the squalls came through it definitely felt like a tropical storm, even though it didn't look like much on sats. Will be something to watch as it moves off the coast.
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Any thoughts on this potential system? I can say here in Gulfport, Florida, we've had over 3 inches of rain since last night with more on the way with gusts over 30 mph. At times it has felt like a tropical system and nothing like our typical summer thunderstorms. I don't see anything on the models I check, but this has the "feel" of something that could become a tropical storm. I suggest it may end up with a name.
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"'Cause when life looks like easy street, there is danger at your door" A few wise words from my favorite rock-n-roll band. Just remember it ain't over till the fat man sings.
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I guess this would have our attention if were like this next Monday:
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The east wind has been in our forecast for weeks, still waiting. It is "supposed" to start raining in the afternoons again this week. Orlando area is one of my favorite places for watching storms. Any direction from a good balcony view at any of many comfortable hotel rooms in late afternoon they are very spectacular. Forget Disney and Universal (where you might get drenched for 15 to 20 minutes at a time), it is a storm watching visual paradise, especially in late afternoon/early evening. You got more of Isiais than we did for sure!
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Just had Storm Fitters come by yesterday to give an estimate on some storm protection for windows that we have always used plywood on. We pay $100.00 a month for storage space mostly for the plywood that is ten years old. We can't leave it in our backyard shed as termites and ants would eat it up. But at more than $12K over ten years, it is very expensive plywood. Glad we had it for Irma though. Bummer that they are 8 to 10 weeks out for delivery if we approve the estimate... But we still have the plywood. Here in Gulfport, Florida we have received about a 1/4 inches of rain in the past few weeks. This is supposed to be our rainy season, and it is almost over except the passing tropical storms. We need really rain. A couple miles north of us, they get rain every day. UGH. BTW, this forum keeps me entertained, even when nothing is brewing! Better to be bored with friends than watching radar all day alone and waiting for a thunderstorm to pop up.
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2004 - What a year in Florida on the Gulf Coast! Charlie, Frances, Ivan, and Jeanne that stand out. And if I remember right there were other storms that brought in flooding rain and over-the-top high tides. We'd get over one, and then prepare for the next. Jeanne was the biggest PIA that year as far as power outages and home damage in the Tampa Bay area, but Charlie and Frances had their impact as well. It became annoying as all get out!
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Waves off of Africa are the main focus, but what about storms that form in the Gulf of Mexico. Living on the Florida Gulf coast, seems like these are the ones that catch us off guard and throw us into a sudden preparation. Do the models for this year suggest anything out of the ordinary? The SST Anomaly is above average right now in a large part of the Atlantic. But what about other factors beyond my limited knowledge?
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I sure miss the snowstorms myself. Staying up all night watching the snow fall past the streetlights and studying the snow drifts as they got deeper, wishing for "snow days" when I was kid, dreaming of being a meteorologist when I grow up. Even now at 60 years old, I still dream of being a meteorologist when I grow up. Now in Florida I stay up all night waiting for an outflow boundary to kick up a thunderstorm outside with amazing lightning or follow a tropical system for a week hoping we get "almost" destructive winds and at least interesting storm surges and big waves. (Two weeks without power and A/C after Irma has me much more conservative than before). Oh the hail storm in Colorado Springs in 1969 or 1970, what a thrill! Three feet of hail in our yard in August, the sound of the cashing and the roar I'll never forget. The flooding as it melted very quickly... Several hurricanes and tropical storms, ice storms in Michigan, spring floods in Virginia, so on. So many storms, so many happy memories. Yea, I am a sicko.
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Already stocked up here, but going to Sams Club for COVID teacher supplies and basics tomorrow anyway. This year it is all being about being a step ahead. Can never have enough toilet paper! LOL May buy another battery backup device for our CPAPs. A battery will not last long, but sure sucks when a 10 minute outage disrupts a good sleep...
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Kind of like saying we there will probably be a blizzard this winter in South Dakota?
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I would not be surprised to see a Gulf hurricane or two this season. In fact, it's probably likely.
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I only saw it once and briefly when my wife was on CNN and said, "Look at this!" I just thought what a horrible graphic, nothing matched up; streets, landmarks, etc., didn't see debris, down trees, wild surf, it just did not make sense. Lot of people fell for it, for sure. I just kept thinking it was a horrible graphics that did not makes sense. LOL
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West Coast of Florida tonight, looks like the bands are staying east of us. Tonight was the night we've been anxiously anticipating for a week now. Will go to sleep tonight relaxed, maybe slightly disappointed we didn't get a "tiny" bit more, but very happy we didn't have to board up the windows or even pick up the projectiles that decorate our backyard. Whew. Watched every WSW wobble, read every post on this and another forum, and stared at the Dorian spinning graphics for hours and hours, and hours. It's almost over for most of Florida. Power is out and going out on the east coast in scattered places, but I am sure few will be out for more than a day or two. Irma left this home without of electricity for over two weeks. Horrible couple weeks, but our house was still here and the two trees that came down with Irma missed our home.
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OK, just learning the territory of this playground. Will say that sat comparison of the Bahamas was not impressive at all from someone who does some graphic design. Accurate I could not tell, the two images should have been in scale and up-to-date. Obviously there was a vast difference on many levels, very unprofessional and almost worthless as far as a true comparison. Not to say the island is not a lot different from a few days ago, but that graphic was a very poor representation. Give me a recent before and after sat photo, I'll produce you something that you could refer to.
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Not sure I get the gist of what you are saying, but curious. You claim Global Warming is a hoax? Still getting a feel for who is who around here, and it may take a very loooooong time. But among people who study the weather and climates, does anybody aware of how the planet works truly believe Global Warming by humans is a hoax? Granted those who are blind, or paid to be blind might say so, but people who are educated, intelligent, pay attention and study? No way. I'd have a hard time believing it. OK, yea, I know, we humans are like tiny ants on a HUGE GIGANTIC orb floating around in space. How could anything we do affect Earth's climate? Silly to think so. I am sorry, maybe this fever I have from a small bacterial infection is making me grumpy...damn little tiny microbes...
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Dream job, even more Nekkid. In fact, I'd pay to do that...even pay more to do it Nekkid! Get paid to do what one wants to do anyway, paid to follow your passion? Even if you die doing it. That's life, pure and simple. Living life! If other's enjoy experiencing what you do from their sofa or PC, then you have hit the jackpot we all seek. A 9 to 5 job, five days a week, security, fluff, being a sheep, following your leader when they cannot remember hearing of a Cat 5 after comforting homeless Americans in Mexico Beach just months ago after a Cat 5, UGH. Give me Liberty, or Give me Death. SENC, you may be making a joke, but you are speaking truth. Josh was crazy, brave, hit a jackpot if he is wise. I'd do it without a blink. (My wife would not approve, but hey we have to juggle our priorities.)
