pen_artist

Honestly not sure what qualifies as its own separate topic discussion so please mods just let me know if this should just stay being covered in the monthly discussion threads. Figured since we may be heading toward an extended streak of dry, hot conditions that haven't been seen in quite some years a thread might be warranted.

https://twitter.com/nilwxreports/status/1280121654870339586?s=20

19 minutes ago, Chicago Storm said:

Complex setup up unfolding with several moving pieces. Liking the ENH still, but could see the eventual need for a MOD if things work out perfectly.

Any idea where you could see the MOD being issued?

6 minutes ago, Malacka11 said:

Guys someone please answer, I woke up quite late to plan this super well. If you were going to set up ahead of these storms, would you drive north or south of Aurora? 

Im still novice as it pertains to forecasting but I dont know if you follow Bob Waszak on Twitter but I'd say he's one of the more legit chasers in the area and he highlighted these two areas

Definitely not needing another deluge but definitely liking the upcoming week with pop up storms and mid 80s. Such a stark contrast compared to earlier this month and finally feeling like summer 

Can't say I have seen such a small hatched area before but there is one for hail in texas panhandle

Gotten bored to the point where I am reading through past convective outlooks when we actually got widespread severe weather 

How well is the RAP known to perform? still a bit novice to reading models but RAP seems to be the only one still showing something significant

some good news to share perhaps though. looks like china has had its first day without cases within the country. all from foreigners coming in 

Huge debris sig showing up again.

Was about to say the same thing. UH streaks look concerning

Just now, Hoosier said:

00z HRRR is fairly concerning for Chicagoland, especially southern parts.

Sitting at 77/74 with near 4000 CAPE a county to the south of me and can't seem to get a storm to go. Hopefully something can take form and take advantage of this environment. It's miserable out

00z HRRR looking pretty decent tomorrow for N IL and NW IN. Will take it with a slight grain of salt though with recent HRRR performance. 

Looking like pretty good rotation on cell heading into Peoria rn and TOR warned...

SPC was on the mark today with this threat. Kudos to them. Although we just became aware of a threat like this only around 24 hours ago they did a good job. The only thing ofc would be the issuance of the PDS watch in Central OK

Anyone have particular thoughts on Tuesday's setup? In terms of intensity and areas to most watch our for

If we can get some storms going a little earlier in the day around late afternoon a decent threat could set up in parts of IL, S Wisconsin and NW Indiana. 18z Nam showing modest convection but nothing major yet.

00z GFS looking very volatile looks like a decent shot for some severe in this subforum especially beginning and middle of next week. Very much looking forward to some good storms and warmth in the future!