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About ikcarsky

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  • Four Letter Airport Code For Weather Obs (Such as KDCA)
  • Location:
    Stevens Point, WI

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  1. ikcarsky

    Spring 2019 Flooding Thread

    It's not literally a sand bar. Poor analogy. The point I was making is that the soil is very sandy and permeable in this region, and ordinarily puddles have very poor staying power...when the ground isn't frozen solid that is.
  2. ikcarsky

    Spring 2019 Flooding Thread

    I've heard it said that my area is immune to flooding because it's basically built on a giant sand bar. Well, turns out that logic doesn't hold up when the ground is frozen. This torch (three days, almost 60° today, with sun) melted about two-thirds of the snow pack. Throw on the 1.5" of rain and there's a lot of urban flooding. Some county roads are underwater too. I've also heard word of some basements taking on water. Sump pumps have been selling well locally. So with all that I am glad the torch is over. It should be downhill (no pun intended) from here. And things could have been worse The snow pack is I'd say about 6" average depth and has plenty of water yet to give.
  3. ikcarsky

    Winter 2018-19 Grade Thread

    For fun, of course. And since it is just for fun, in the end people will use whatever scale they wish -- including how they feel. All I can do is explain why I prefer a more objective standard. Atlanta will never ever get a grade-A winter. International Falls will probably never ever have a grade-D winter. In imitation of life...some students just won't ever get A's no matter how hard they try. Come up my way, this three-day torch was no match for our epic snow pack. It may be slushy on the bottom but it still white on top and no grass is poking through yet.
  4. ikcarsky

    Winter 2018-19 Grade Thread

    I think I see what you mean by "both ways" but this is awkward to me since the entire point of being objective here would be to provide a single standard by which a winter should be judged -- no matter where you are in the world. Which standard to choose? Pure numbers (80"+ seasonal snowfall) or relative to climo (10"+ above average)? I would rather judge on criteria closer to the former than that latter. There is some enjoyment from breaking records and knowing a given season is unusual and as you saw I do give points for that. I just don't think it should be the basis of the scoring rubric. To go off of your example, someone from the South coming living in Chicago for a year would be impressed by even a climatologically average Chicago winter, but even they would have to some sense of what a real "grade A" winter would be like, and that it wasn't what they experienced in Chicago. Our culture gives the impression (reinforced around Christmastime) that winter means kids are bundled up from head to toe, the hearth is ablaze, and the snow is deep enough that you could use sleighs to get around. You see it on decorations, media, your coffee mugs, etc. And there are places in this country where that can happen on a consistent annual basis. Shouldn't these places be the "grade A students" of winter?
  5. ikcarsky

    March 9-11 Winter Storm

    I noticed MSP was the last place in MN to change over. Surprised at how long it took. UHI influenced perhaps? It was during the day and most areas getting snow were a degree or two above freezing as far as a could tell. Getting optimistic for 6" here for my area. Precip is becoming a bit better defined on the leading edge of the 700 circulation which is now in SW WI. You can see the circulation quite well via the radar loops which is definitely not the surface low (which is over ORD).
  6. ikcarsky

    Winter 2018-19 Grade Thread

    I share the sentiment that winter should be judged on an objective basis, not relative to climo. Which is why I moved to a place with better snow climo. In that respect Dec and Jan were altogether average, maybe even a bit below. But Feb was an A+, and gets extra credit for just completely smashing the record books with respect to snow: • Parade of sliders generally giving 3"+ of snow every few days • All-time season snow records smashed. 80"+ on season thanks to monthly record of 44" in Feb alone • A couple of big dogs - 2/12 which dropped a whopping 15" - 2/24 blizzard, started with almost 1/2" freezing rain and ended with 7" of snow with powerful winds (took out lots of power in my area) • Only a couple notable thaws (~2/3 and ~2/23); fairly brief, temps didn't exceed 40, only took tiny bites out of the snow pack. • The snow pack itself reached just insane depth by mid-month and we're still holding onto it. (And areas north of me got even more!) Even after this recent two-day thaw with March sun it's almost two feet deep even in the middle of suburban lawns. Here's an example of what some roads were like by 2/28. Not bad considering I'm well outside of LES zones. Throw as extra credit: -30s in late Jan, and the first week of March feeling like deep midwinter, and I come up with an overall B+ grade. Very content.
  7. ikcarsky

    March 9-11 Winter Storm

    I gotta give some love to this one. We didn't see a drop of liquid like they were forecasting. NWS is blaming the stiff dry east wind all afternoon that kept dew points in the low 20s. Snow/sleet started about 5:45 pm, intensity picked up half an hour later and by 6:45 pm it was CRAZY intense snow. Gotta love 850 frontogenesis snow giving us an amazing band that dropped 2" in one hour. But by 8 PM it was all done and now it's just light stuff now as I find myself smack dab in the central WI snow hole. Wind died down quite a bit too. Fingers crossed that the defo snow action picks up now.