ORH_wxman

I thought we'd get a legit threat in the second half of the month, but guidance really was kind of clueless on the pattern. Kept flip flopping. IT was actually kind of a disaster on model guidance really since we got to February....we had so many fake torches get canned on guidance during February and then the reload in March basically turned into this half baked semi-chilly pseudo-zonal pattern with flat/truncated ridges out west interrupted by deep troughs to mix in a cutter or two. .

Always love seeing BN heights in New Foundland and Labrador in late March and April with the ridge axis 800 miles west of us.

That's almost certainly what happened. In ORH, they were able to get some measurements from the airport for a while despite no official observer, but then that stopped eventually and they started using an observer near the airport. This process happened faster at BDL. You see so many instances of no report at BDL airport but then you get "East Granby" and I also remember a few times seeing them identical when they happened to put both in the report. It's like when BOS had the Winthrop coop doing the Logan measurements for a while...you'd see something like "0.6 W Winthrop" and Logan airport would have identical totals to the nearest tenth.

It could depend on your yard too this time of year. There’s a house at the bottom of our hill that has full pack right now on almost all sides except one. It’s deep too. At least 6-8”. Almost everyone else is bare ground with just piles. It’s tucked into the hillside just a bit so it prob catches all the cold dense drainage and maybe a little extra shade…but I think the former is the better explanation. Plenty of other shaded areas have less or just patches.

More water in the snow at Ray’s?

The old East Granby reports are definitely BDL. At least most of them are I’d think of not all of them. There wasn’t an active coop there either.

It’s so nice out….but it’s mostly useless this time of year since we still have snow pack or soggy ground where wet it just recently melted. You can’t do shit except walk in the street, lol. Oh well, back to dogshit tomorrow. Too bad next week couldn’t pan out. Cutter, cold, cutter, cold.

Edges retreating quickly.

We’re down to about 10-11” here but the south facing sloped areas are now largely exposed. This pack had some meat in it. This has been a real furnace the last few days that it has taken to get to this point.

Yeah the second storm had a very tight snow gradient near 495. We had about 16” but once you went like 5-10 miles inside 495 it was mostly rain.

Cold, cutter, cold, cutter pattern...you can see how easily it would have been to get a good one in there. Still think we'll prob get at least another interior threat before the month is out. That PV doesn't really go anywhere...tries to retreat slightly but then drifts back south on ensembles.

I was spoiled in ORH for that 12 month period....had back to back nor' easters Dec 6-7, 1996 totaling 26", then 33.0" in the April .97 storm and then 18" in the Dec '97 positive bust. That was the end of the luck for a while though....brutal next 3 years until 2000-2001

A Super Nino would almost certainly suck....but I'll roll the dice any day with a mod/strong Nino as long as it's not east based.

Probably a few chances but so far nothing has gotten inside 7 days really.

I remember seeing the 40-50 dbz echoes on the doorstep and thinking it was definitely sleet. Then we got monster hooked-dendrite aggies pounding for a couple hours. We got 6” per hour in ORH at the peak. Not quite the 8” per hour stuff just northeast of us but pretty insane regardless.