Qbo argues for a -nao winter and the Alaska warm pool argues for a western North American ridge. It would be nice if we get extended periods of the two working in tandem but hopefully at the very least if we lose either the pac or the atl the other side will prevent a full on extended torch.
Ensembles have the -nao weakening in the long range while higher heights move into western North America. With the qbo trending favorable and warm sst’s in the north pac I wonder if that will be the theme this winter with times of the pac and Atlantic teaming up. Seems we also have potential for a ssw down the line. I’m feeling pretty good about this winter at this point.
The last handful of nights have been quiet at night, no crickets or anything, but I did hear a couple this evening. After this cold front moves through that should be that.