Steve25

Tom Tasselmyer tweeted that BWI will break into the top 10 of consecutive days with at least 1 inch of snow on the ground tomorrow with 12 days. I’m curious exactly how much is currently left on the ground where they record that measurement and how long they can go. I’d imagine it’s not out of the question they can make it until next Monday with the cold air settling back in place. That would put them at 16 days.

Seems like the general trend across guidance today is the push back of the cold air next week quicker and stronger against that ridging.

Yeah, starting to see the dreaded “Pattern should be much more favorable by March” remarks.

Punting to March? Yikes

Just to clarify, we are not concerned about fighting a significant warmup after next weekend? Trying to not put much stock into the 0z suite tonight

I didn’t realize just how bad February has been in Baltimore, honestly going all the way back to 2011. February is historically BWIs snowiest month, averaging 7.5 inches. 2014 and 2015 were good. Both saw just under 15 inches in February. Aside from that, BWI has been below average every other February since 2011. 13 out of 15 years. 10 out of those 13 years have seen less than 3 inches. In the 141 years of record keeping for BWI, they’ve recorded double digit snowfall in February 37 times. That comes out to about once every 4 years on average. It’s been 10 consecutive years without a double digit February. Most of them have been LOW in the single digits as well. I’d say the WDI is very high!

14 in downtown Bmore.

It wasn’t far off from a couple systems swinging by, though. For whatever that’s worth. On another note, the regular Euro continues to be pretty unenthusiastic about any potential system next week

It is. I tried walking on some of the untouched, grass covered areas today and it actually caught me off guard how slick it was.

Love the idea of this potential getting juiced up a bit but can we not do 1 inch in Baltimore while just to west everyone gets 6-10

I only remember it because I took before and after pics of a lake nearby on January 1st and then a week later on the 8th and it froze completely over. First time I had ever seen that happen.

One cold period that I rarely see brought up, likely because it was dry, is the end of December 2017 into January 2018. It dropped below freezing in the evening on December 26th, and didn’t rise above freezing until the afternoon on January 8th. 12/13 consecutive days of freezing or below. There were also several days in that stretch that barely got to 20 degrees. This current stretch will likely end up being about 9/10 days consecutively sub freezing.

Downtown Baltimore never fails to amaze me in terms of temperature. It’s currently 18 degrees. Barely dropped since the sun went down. I could drive 13 minutes away, just outside of the city to Catonsville where it’s already down to 12 degrees. I understand why it happens, it’s just wild.

That storm broke my 10 year streak of no snowfalls over 5 inches IMBY. And yes, that’s pure snow, I’m not counting the sleet for that. Got about 7 inches of snow and then 3/4 inches of sleet. So for that, I am thankful! Still having trouble wrapping my mind around the fact that I went 10 years without experiencing a 6+ inch snowfall.

Interesting examples. At BWI: 2002/03 had 15 inches going into February. Finished with 58.1. 2009/10 had 27. Finished with 77. Even though it doesn’t technically count I’ll throw it in since it was close. 2013/14 had 12.7. Finished with 39. BWI is currently at 13.1 I believe. Obviously we can’t guarantee this February will be BN, but if it is, it’s in fairly good company to have a backloaded finish.