Woodbridge02

Light rain. 39 degrees

Just now, lpaschall said:

For you or the entire forum?

Looks like most of the forum, from tonight's models the best case scenario is a sloppy inch. The 00z HRRR was actually all rain in DC and Baltimore and mostly rain all the way up to the Mason Dixon line. Not much precip either. The NAM did have an isolated 2" band through Rockville into the IAD area but for the rest of the forum was a coating or less. 

I'm out, the NAM and HRRR are disastrous and the Euro isn't much better. 

Hopefully we can get an overperformer friday. 

2 minutes ago, clskinsfan said:

18Z RGEM. So its the Euro, ICON, NAM's and Rgem against the GFS twins. I wonder which will win?

 

The NAMs, ICON, and Euro are not total shutouts though. Maybe in the coating to 2" range for DC

4 minutes ago, vastateofmind said:

FWIW, LWX added another 1" for SE FfxCo on this graphic, since early this A.M.

Bring that line 2 miles south and then we can lock it in 

NWS forecast is for 2-4" IMBY - I would be thrilled if that verified 

1 minute ago, HighStakes said:

Maybe this will be winter 2015 version 2.0 starting 2 weeks earlier. 

Even better because 2015 didn't have a 6-12" event in mid January

1 minute ago, yoda said:

What did the Euro show?  Sorry, long work day lol.

8-10 inches with Kuchera lol 

1 minute ago, Kmlwx said:

This looks closer to a severe t'storm threat than a winter storm for us

300 mile southeast trend

58/57 ... light rain ... even the piles are melting 

25 minutes ago, Ji said:

ICON with a big step back from 00z

For what storm?

12 minutes ago, Bob Chill said:

18z gfs drops another subtle hint that legit blocking is on the way

Is that a 50/50 low too?

1 minute ago, Roger Smith said:

Thunder-frozen possible from I-95 northwestward (in MD) and north of an east-west vector from Dale City (in VA). Most likely MoCo to Baltimore county. 

lol that's not happening. I'm expecting all rain and unfortunately that's what I'm going to get. 

1/17/2018 - 0.5" 

Total = 10.2" 

1 minute ago, BristowWx said:

You east of the fall line?

I think so, or right on the edge. Just barely east of 95 along PW parkway

It's actually picked up in the last couple minutes and is now legit SN with decent dendrites. It's having trouble accumulating though and looking at the radar it won't last long 

Actually some larger flakes coming through right now. Not much accumulation but still looks nice

34/28, very light drizzle and snow. Maybe a bit over 1/4 inch except on roads and sidewalks

Looks like some decent light/moderate snow returns currently moving north from central VA towards the metro area,

https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/?type=Virginias-rad-0-24&checked=&prodDim=100&overDim=100

34 degrees with light flurries in Woodbridge, around 1/4". Nothing on roads or sidewalks. 

Maybe 1/4" here. Light snow showers, 33 degrees

7 minutes ago, Chris78 said:

There actually pretty good agreement between the gfs/fv3 and the Euro for a rain to snow scenario for the weekend. I know they normally don't work out well for us but should be an interesting week of tracking.

March 5 2015? Wasn't this a rain to snow storm with a temperature crash?

Just now, yoda said:

GEFS snowfall mean pretty tight at 168... extreme S MD is at 2 inches, NW VA at 8 inches

is this counting sleet/freezing rain as snow?

Moderate snow building back in. I'm going to have to measure again later. 

11/15 - 1.6"

12/9 - 0.3"

1/12-13 - 7.8" 

Total: 9.7"

6.25" wave 1

1.6" wave 2

Overall a great event, sure the lull/mixing was annoying but I crushed my expectations for this storm.