jaydreb

The Euro is a better model than the NAM?

I input this into ChatGPT, assigned weights to each model, and came up with a weighted Prior to Flip QPF of .66” and Time of Flip of 16z (11am). 5-8” seems like a fair forecast based on that.

Through Noon on Sunday.

5-8” of pounding snow followed by sleet and frigid temps that make it stick around for a while sounds good to me. The ground will be white when we look outside for quite a while.

GEFS is a beat down. Hope it’s right.

CMC.

Does it not start to mix after 90? If I’m wrong I will delete. I want to be wrong.

Could be low. This is through 90 (10-1 ratio).

Is Kuchera supposed to subtract out sleet?

Lock it up.

Are we Buffalo that we can scoff at 6-10” of snow?

Reminds me of the Feb 2015 storm where we got 8” in the Beltway from the thump before the changeover.

EPS.